Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 7, 2020

March 7, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Colombian Gold 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 7 Sunriser 4.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Olive You More 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 I Give Up 5.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Journal Entry 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 8 Flamigo Bay (IRE) 12.00 7.8 15-1
1 1 Wine At Sunset 12.00 8 15-1
4 4 Awesome Drive 12.00 8.1 15-1
7 7 Diva in Charge 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Danceformunny 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 American Code 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Believe Now 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Candy Fury 6.00 4 8-1
7 7 Beachcombing 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Moon Mischief 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Still in the Game 8.00 5 10-1
5 5 Polar Wind 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Arch Ability 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Drop the Chalupa 12.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Affianced 3.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Lil Miss Moppet 5.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Navetta 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Rocking Redhead 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 New Drama 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Sapphire Silk 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Bristol Bayou 6.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Woke Up to Aces 12.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Constantia 15.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Nurse Goodbody 15.00 9.1 17-1
7 7 Majestic Gigi 15.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 Moonhall Milly (IRE) 3.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Happy Tune 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Stopped Raining 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – San Carlos S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Roadster 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Flagstaff 1.60 2.8 5-1
6 6 McKale 5.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 St. Joe Bay 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Manhattan Up 6.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Law Abidin Citizen 8.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Frank E. Kilroe Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Frontier Market 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 True Valour (IRE) 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 River Boyne (IRE) 3.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Desert Stone (IRE) 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Next Shares 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Ohio (BRZ) 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Got Stormy 2.50 4.4 8-1
5 5 Sellwood 15.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Kingly 15.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Sash (GB) 30.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Gamine 0.60 2.2 4-1
2 2 Reem 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Miss Addie Pray 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Majestic Blend 6.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Derby Lady 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – China Doll S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stela Star (IRE) 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Bella Vita 6.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Croughavouke (IRE) 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Little Bird (IRE) 8.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Beguiled 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Triana (IRE) 12.00 4 7-1
11 11 Warren’s Showtime 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Red Lark (IRE) 15.00 5.3 10-1
12 12 Abby Hatcher (IRE) 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Homehome 20.00 6.2 12-1
14 13 Roadrunner’s Honor 20.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Carpe Vinum 15.00 7.1 13-1
13 12 Guitty (FR) 12.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Sherilinda 50.00 10.5 20-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – San Felipe S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Honor A. P. 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Storm the Court 5.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Authentic 1.20 2.6 5-1
5 5 Thousand Words 1.80 2.8 5-1
3 3 Wrecking Crew 12.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Fort McHenry 20.00 4 8-1
7 7 Swagsational 50.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Muchly (GB) 3.50 2.3 4-1
12 12 Peter’s Kitten 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Dupioni (IRE) 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Courteous 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Heathers Grey 4.00 4.7 9-1
10 10 Magical Gray 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Kalliniki 15.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Absolutely Perfect 12.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Prima Valentina 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 She’s Our Charm 12.00 7.8 15-1
8 8 Lavender (IRE) 15.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Arctic Roll (GB) 5.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Legend Emma (IRE) 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Silken Spy 30.00 10.4 20-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Santa Anita H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Midcourt 2.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Endorsed 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Hofburg 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Combatant 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Two Thirty Five 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Multiplier 20.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Brown Storm (CHI) 20.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Gift Box 1.20 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Quick (GB) 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Thriving (GB) 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Anonymously 5.00 4 8-1
10 10 Queen of the Track 8.00 4.2 8-1
12 12 Ellie Arroway 5.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Posit 6.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Querelle 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Tijori 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Grinningeartoear 10.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Drift Away 15.00 6.1 12-1
9 9 Mariah Girl (ARG) 30.00 9.2 17-1
1 1 Shanghai Truffles 30.00 9.4 18-1

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Constitutionaffair 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Speakerofthehouse 3.00 2.4 5-1
8 8 My Journey 3.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Ziyanair 8.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Rough Ride 8.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Big Headed Baby 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 The Easy Way 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Time N Money 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Nil Phet 30.00 7.4 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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