Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, March 7, 2020

March 7, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gray Sky 4.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Ceeky 12.00 2.4 4-1
7 7 Qualifly 8.00 2.6 5-1
4 4 Conqueror 2.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Sing Him a Song 20.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 He’s No Bull 15.00 5.8 11-1
8 8 Tres Equis 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 P R Radio Star 5.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Rockys Warrior 3.50 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Caddo Daddo 10.00 1.1 2-1
4 3 Red Again 3.50 1.4 3-1
9A 8 Ghostly Who 4.00 1.4 3-1
7 6 Tales of War 15.00 1.7 3-1
6 5 Carmelo 6.00 2.9 5-1
3 2 Dapper Jack 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 4 Travel West 6.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Elitch 4.50 7.7 15-1
2 2 Herbie 10.00 SCRATCH
10A 10 Power Song 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hard to Park 10.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Executive Branch 4.50 1.6 3-1
4 4 Channel Crossing 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Aqwaam 4.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 One Last Strike 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Lngtermrelationshp 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Jay Vee Bee 3.50 4.2 8-1
5 5 Next Gen 8.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Underscore 3.50 1.1 2-1
7 7 Dust Devil 5.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Fast Cash 4.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Smack Attack 12.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Quality Warrior 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Violent Pass 10.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Liam’s Pride 3.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Plane Talk 6.00 1.6 3-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Attain Success 3.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 One for Richie 3.50 1.4 3-1
7 7 Reelfoot 10.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Zeroed In 8.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Jimmy At Last 4.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Golden Tiger 4.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Temple Bar 8.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Alex’s Strike 15.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Most Amusing 20.00 8.4 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Boo Be Right 12.00 1.3 2-1
7 6 Macho Rocco 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Smarty Grimes 15.00 1.3 2-1
12 10 James’s Moonshine 15.00 1.3 2-1
8 7 Hamazing Song 30.00 1.3 3-1
2 2 Chicken Hawk 12.00 1.4 3-1
13 11 Pay Dirt 6.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Traffic Control 4.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Mr. Cougar 20.00 1.6 3-1
11 9 My Golden Diablo 3.50 1.8 3-1
6 6 Tempt Fate 4.50 SCRATCH
10 8 Flamin Fire 8.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Thornish 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Papa Star 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Foreign Exchange 8.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Misty Blue 2.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Competitive Fire 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Fifthatnarraganset 12.00 2.1 4-1
1 1 Symphony Hall 3.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Tap and Spin 20.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Cherokee Chatter 10.00 7.6 14-1
2 2 Jewel Thief 2.50 7.6 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Hot Springs S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Boldor 10.00 1.1 2-1
4 3 Share the Upside 2.00 2.1 4-1
3 2 Whitmore 1.80 2.5 5-1
2 1 Mr. Jagermeister 3.50 4.5 9-1
6 5 Wendell Fong 4.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Firecrow 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Honeybee S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Raggedy Annie 10.00 2 4-1
9 8 Queen Bridget 30.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Motu 3.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Shedaresthedevil 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Fiftyshays Ofgreen 8.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Turtle Trax 4.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Alta’s Award 4.50 4.8 9-1
4 4 Ring Leader 3.50 8.8 17-1
6 6 Back in Charge 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vokazak 20.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Mahalo John 20.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Collection 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Titochip 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 You Split Tens 10.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Satellite 4.50 6.5 12-1
12 11 Storminside 5.00 8.2 15-1
7 7 Unstabled 15.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Iowa Native 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Switheral 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Esposito 10.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Hyndford 8.00 10.2 19-1
8 8 Lookie Loo 4.00 12 23-1
4 4 Istillgotit 20.00 12.9 24-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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