Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 6, 2020

March 6, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Razeena 1.80 1.4 3-1
1 1 Sara Sea 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Blessed Again 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Profound Legacy 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Goodbye Earl 5.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Lady C 3.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 She’s a Queen 20.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ettalusive 8.00 1.4 3-1
3 3 Despina 10.00 1.8 3-1
7 7 Can’t Touch Me 4.50 3.8 7-1
8 8 Tizanillusion 1.80 4.1 8-1
4 4 Our Girl Abby 5.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 M and M Girl 3.00 6.1 11-1
2 2 Ms Fifty First St. 12.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bravura Creek 12.00 1.2 2-1
2 2 Prince Leo 15.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Rich Icon 12.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 A P Dancer 6.00 1.3 2-1
3 3 Big Macintosh 8.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Risky Situation 12.00 1.3 2-1
10 9 Elm Store 12.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Summertimer 15.00 1.3 3-1
11 10 Kurts Raider 4.50 1.4 3-1
12 11 Officer Donell 15.00 1.4 3-1
9 8 Babadoook 3.50 2.3 4-1
8 8 Storm Classic 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 War Ballad 5.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Full of Grace 1.80 1.5 3-1
4 4 First Alternate 8.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 Mia Promessa 6.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Field Daisey 10.00 4 8-1
2 2 Hawt Mess 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Cowgirl Kimmie 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Sandy Sangria 8.00 7.8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Explosive Humour 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 My Little Tip 20.00 1.3 2-1
7 7 Hummel One 15.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 Dinner At Crumpies 15.00 1.3 3-1
10 9 Rock City Rocket 10.00 1.3 3-1
11 10 Leo Del Reo 3.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Shameful Preacher 15.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Slightly Crafty 20.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Grahamstan 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Sequence 4.00 2 4-1
3 3 Explosive Shoes 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Gotta Love Ike 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 King of the Court 4.50 0.9 2-1
8 8 No Funny Biz 8.00 1.1 2-1
3 3 Pat Daddy 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Sladens Dream 12.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Ender 12.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Drc All Inclusive 4.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Drena’s Star 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Violent Ridge 3.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Grey Mask 20.00 1.2 2-1
10 9 Tentwelvefourteen 10.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Firehorn 3.50 3.9 7-1
8 8 R H Smoakem 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Sacred Kiki Bird 4.00 5.6 11-1
11 10 Not Today Alfie 12.00 6.1 11-1
3 3 October Sky 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Broadway Ice 12.00 9.7 18-1
7 7 Twin Farms 30.00 9.7 18-1
9 9 Town Drunk 15.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Academy Bay 2.50 10.8 20-1
5 5 Most Mischief 8.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Euro Me 3.50 0.9 2-1
5 5 Sekani 2.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Superstar Bea 8.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Ordained Kiss 15.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Georgia’s Reward 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Joy in the Journey 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Tiger Bait 4.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Big Luck 12.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Funny Flowers 12.00 1.2 2-1
8 7 Elsie’s First 15.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Lady McKenzie 10.00 1.4 3-1
9 8 C’Est Mardi 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 Drop Dead Gorgeous 8.00 1.6 3-1
10 9 Flashy Biz 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Visual Magic 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Subiaco 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Withyourpermission 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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