March 6, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Luxe Diamond | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toonie Loonie | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dat Hot Match | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upsy Daisy Do | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I’m a Rockstar | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Story Short | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snake N Shake | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gracie’s Dream | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Smack | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Alma | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Company | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wind Dreamer | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bramble Berry | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mudslide Wicked | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ima N H Lady Cat | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | So Elusive | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cape Mist | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grace’s Drama | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three Illusions | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Final Flurry | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ledecky | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mary Lee and Me | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Majestic Maiara | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Avuncular | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kashan | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royal Meghan | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Don’t Eatthe Apple | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carolyn’s Smile | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Enough | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Pardon My Heart | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapit to Ride | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Take Ten | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Elle M’a Souri (FR) | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Bay Harbor | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tizahra | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sequaya | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | First in Command | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Iconic | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Starship Aramis | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Double Whammy | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lapochka | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kahramani | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Two Step Slew | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mr Chaplin | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | He’s Smokin Hot | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shidoshi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Macho Blue | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | By the Sey Shore | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Real Money | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jake Rocks | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Camp Randall | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What’s to Blame | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sarasota County | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Zippy | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Game Boy Benny | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Meet Cute | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nacho Papa | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Saint Larned | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Beau Trace | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pink Lemonade | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dealer’s Girl | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Auramet | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Awsum Roar | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dixieincandyland | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bentley’s Dream | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fightress | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tap Tap Taparoo | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hy Dollface | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz Red Wine | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mo of the West | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tynan | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty and Fast | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Prayingforthat | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Panda | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Couple of Nikkis | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sister Otoole | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | By His Grace | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Love Ranger | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.