Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, March 6, 2020

March 6, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Luxe Diamond 1.60 2.1 4-1
6 6 Toonie Loonie 3.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Dat Hot Match 4.00 3 6-1
4 4 Upsy Daisy Do 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 I’m a Rockstar 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Long Story Short 15.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Snake N Shake 10.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Gracie’s Dream 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Smack 1.60 2.6 5-1
1 1 Noble Alma 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Quiet Company 5.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Wind Dreamer 10.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Bramble Berry 10.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Mudslide Wicked 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Ima N H Lady Cat 20.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 So Elusive 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Cape Mist 3.50 2.1 4-1
7 7 Grace’s Drama 2.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Three Illusions 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Final Flurry 3.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Ledecky 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Mary Lee and Me 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Majestic Maiara 15.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Avuncular 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Kashan 3.50 2.2 4-1
2 2 Royal Meghan 2.50 2.9 5-1
4 4 Don’t Eatthe Apple 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Carolyn’s Smile 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Tiz Enough 6.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pardon My Heart 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Tapit to Ride 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Take Ten 2.50 2.9 5-1
8 6 Elle M’a Souri (FR) 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 5 Bay Harbor 8.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Tizahra 10.00 6 11-1
5 5 Sequaya 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 First in Command 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Iconic 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 2 Starship Aramis 3.50 3 6-1
4 3 Double Whammy 6.00 3.4 6-1
6 5 Lapochka 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 4 Kahramani 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Two Step Slew 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Mr Chaplin 20.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 He’s Smokin Hot 30.00 8.1 15-1
2 2 Shidoshi 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Macho Blue 1.80 2.6 5-1
6 6 By the Sey Shore 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Real Money 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Jake Rocks 4.50 3.8 7-1
7 7 Camp Randall 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 What’s to Blame 8.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Sarasota County 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Zippy 2.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Game Boy Benny 2.50 2.4 5-1
4 3 Meet Cute 4.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Nacho Papa 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 5 Saint Larned 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Beau Trace 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Pink Lemonade 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dealer’s Girl 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Miss Auramet 3.50 3 6-1
7 7 Awsum Roar 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Dixieincandyland 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Bentley’s Dream 4.50 4 8-1
8 8 Fightress 12.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Tap Tap Taparoo 10.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Hy Dollface 15.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Tiz Red Wine 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mo of the West 3.50 1.6 3-1
9 9 Tynan 4.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Pretty and Fast 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 I’m Prayingforthat 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lady Panda 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Couple of Nikkis 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Sister Otoole 10.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 By His Grace 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Love Ranger 12.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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