March 6, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Adrenaline | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Club Soda | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wildcat Saint | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lenape Drive | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carter Cat | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Drakkar | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sparkys Surprise | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Warriors Gem | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hero of the Future | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hurricane Dancer | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Makbule | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pyser’s Orb | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conquistador Show | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | F J’s Gem | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Tornado Boy | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Legendary Hero | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Guestar | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Juanandora | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Kylie | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Fitzgerald | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Supersport Sally | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Belle Force | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Misty Ice | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Meg and Clair | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Easter Lily | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mustang Cat | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Irritator | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alittlevodka | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | V Tach M. D. | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Roger Brown | 1.60 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flash Attack | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey Bravo | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spectrolite | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fleetway | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sumner | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bye Bye Shanghai | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dad Said No | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | B W P Express | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Get It to Geaux | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smithwick | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Homeview | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Factor | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Luck of the Draw | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Bingo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pancho’s Lucky Boy | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | J C’s in Town | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Jam | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shae’s Day | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love That Warrior | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tune My Guitar | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eatorbeeaten | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Silent Cry | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 7 | Yalisha | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Echoesoftime | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Esperanza Diamond | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lovely Charlie | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sethamee Street | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Z Pride | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Fairwell Tax Break | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Silver Squall | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Dr Liz | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Crispy Creed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Veronica’s Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Noble Order | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cleanup Time | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kinenos | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cruel Summer | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kunal | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Palace Coup | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nomo d’Oro | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decorated | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Steppin’ Outonher | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Prophet | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | King Bandit | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fat Clemenza | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tin Roof Rusted | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Major Ridge | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Buddy Chuck | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gifted Richter | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ricky Dale | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.