Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, March 2, 2020

March 2, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 My Danzig Partner 1.80 1.8 3-1
4 4 Afleet Melody 1.60 2 4-1
2 2 Vencil 4.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Snoopy’s Bid 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Caecilius 15.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Railroad Bill 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 El Fenomeno 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mamma Dee 2.50 1.9 3-1
7 7 Mill and Gloria 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Fillupcohensapiker 1.80 2.8 5-1
4 4 Izzadora Bella 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Sweet Maggie Mae 8.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 Midnight Bounty 10.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Theodosia 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 G Daddy 1.20 1.2 2-1
3 3 Sunshine Crusader 8.00 2.9 6-1
2 2 Cousin Pete 1.80 3.2 6-1
1 1 Spartak 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Lt. Columbo 10.00 4 8-1
5 5 Fox Z 12.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Bourbonatboylesbar 20.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2X 9 Pahall Revear 3.50 1.9 4-1
2 5 Hail to the King 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 4 March Screamer 3.00 2.9 5-1
8 10 Lay It On the Line 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 1 Incidentally 6.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Tattered 1.60 4.6 9-1
6 6 Tu Exageres 12.00 5.1 10-1
1 2 Bill’s Mafia 10.00 5.3 10-1
1A 8 Tommy’s Top Cat 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 3 Fairly Bold 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 5 Irish Riviera 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 4 Bellarmine Hall 3.00 2.4 5-1
6 7 Indy’s Jewel 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 1 Promising Pistol 4.00 3.6 7-1
3 2 Occhi d’Oro 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 3 Maximus Midani 4.50 4.4 8-1
5 6 Starling Prince 6.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 You Must Chill 1.80 1.3 2-1
3 3 Mr Classical 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Jane’s Factor 4.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 Methodical 6.00 2 4-1
6 6 Double Chubble 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Rebel Traveller 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Peter G. Fox 20.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Klaatu 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 2 Seat of Honor 3.50 2.9 5-1
4 3 Gotta Get Away 4.00 3.1 6-1
10 8 Spring Emperor 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Controlled Fury 2.50 SCRATCH
7 5 General Bellamy 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 7 Staynsidethecircle 15.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Watch My Dust 12.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Tuffy’s Lucky 20.00 7.8 15-1
6 4 Finglas 20.00 9.1 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Honorable Service 3.50 2 4-1
3 3 Final Shot 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 5 He’s Incredible 3.00 3.2 6-1
8 6 Lazarus Project 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Admiral Abe 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Owin I Am 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Tremblant 20.00 SCRATCH
9 7 Caniform 15.00 6.2 12-1
6 4 Five More Minutes 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Luvinmeiseasy 1.60 2 4-1
1 1 Try Flying 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Kenyan 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Miami Tiger 8.00 SCRATCH
8 6 Terry’s Charm 3.50 3.4 6-1
5 3 Immunity 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Spider Jorgensen 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 5 Nileator 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Trilogy 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 R Awesum Betty 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Touch Me Not 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Red Hed Speights 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mighty Molly 5.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Three Potatoe Four 3.00 SCRATCH
7 4 Allegretto 4.50 3.5 7-1
4 4 Gold Rush Kizzie 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Salty and Sweet 20.00 6.3 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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