Sports from the Basement

Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 29, 2020

February 29, 2020 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Heart Beat Away 6.00 4.5 8-1
7 4 Lights Down Low 5.00 4.7 9-1
2 1 Morissette 2.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Not in the Mood 8.00 6.8 13-1
8 5 Risque Express 10.00 7.2 14-1
9 6 Deep Canyon 12.00 8.1 15-1
1 5 Kendyl Elizabeth 12.00 SCRATCH
1A 10 Lemon Crush 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Mad Mary 1.80 SCRATCH
6 6 Woman Flyer 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 White Bluff 3.00 3 6-1
6 6 Ekati Wildcat 4.50 3.6 7-1
11 11 Thomas Knight 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Storm Tales 3.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Trusting Friend 8.00 7.4 14-1
12 12 Fratello Del Nord 15.00 8.7 17-1
8 8 The Italian 15.00 8.9 17-1
9 9 Ask Chuck 15.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Ninetyeightoctane 20.00 9.8 19-1
1 1 Sunshine Mark 20.00 10 19-1
13 13 Notable 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 No More Strippers 20.00 10.7 20-1
3 3 Mantle 20.00 10.7 20-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Resonate 1.80 2.1 4-1
6 6 Unparalleled 5.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Iwishirish 1.60 3 6-1
1 1 Chancee 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Girl Powder 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Fleur de Force 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Owesaycanyousee 20.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Jumpin Jett 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Valiant Spirit 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 Aleda Lutz 5.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Spectacular Move 2.50 4.6 9-1
3 2 Gossip Isle 3.50 5.4 10-1
13 12 Zensational Dixie 8.00 7 13-1
9 8 Dancingthehnydaway 12.00 8 15-1
7 6 Wise Trade 20.00 8.8 17-1
4 3 Point Lockout 15.00 8.9 17-1
11 10 Lucky’s Ransom 20.00 8.9 17-1
6 5 Baaqeya 15.00 8.9 17-1
5 4 Fortressa 15.00 9.8 19-1
8 7 Gemodixie 20.00 10 19-1
2 2 Dearest Ella 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Nico Bree N Teej 4.50 2.3 4-1
11 10 You’re No Saint 3.50 2.8 5-1
2 2 Draxhall Woods 5.00 3.5 7-1
10 9 He’s Got Talent 6.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Doddsprivatelabel 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 To the Victor 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Hot N Spicy Love 10.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Window Table 10.00 5.6 11-1
9 8 Banker’s Island 20.00 7.7 15-1
8 8 Match Up 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Winning the Medal 20.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Johnny Jiggle 3.50 1.5 3-1
8 9 Uncheyne Django 4.00 1.7 3-1
1A 2 Ronin Warrior 5.00 2.7 5-1
2 3 Thin Spaces 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Hibachi 5.00 3.2 6-1
7 8 Richie Goes Global 3.00 4 7-1
6 7 Gaucho 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 5 Perfect Daydream 15.00 6.6 13-1
3 4 Naughty Fox 20.00 7.5 14-1
9 10 Piggybank 20.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 9 War Bridle 2.50 1.7 3-1
1 8 E J’s Revenge 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 2 Private Party 4.00 2.4 5-1
4 3 Three Phase 3.50 2.7 5-1
2 1 The Great Samurai 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 4 Wild About Deb 10.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Tomater Gator 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 6 Midnight Games 10.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Tactical Pursuit (IRE) 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Buddy’s Run 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 6 Flat Out Beautiful 2.50 2.8 5-1
4 2 Dig Charlie Dig 5.00 3 6-1
5 3 Tally Mo 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 4 Aced 6.00 3.6 7-1
8 7 Catch Fire 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 1 Espresso Caliente 12.00 4.2 8-1
1A 8 You Must Chill 2.50 SCRATCH
2 1 Shock Treatment 20.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Five More Minutes 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 My Chesa Charm 2.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Luna Azteca 5.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Cheri’s Win 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Pansy 10.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 Seeking Shamrocks 6.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 To the Flag 3.50 7 13-1
9 9 Gobi 20.00 7.3 14-1
6 6 Mo Town Kat 15.00 8 15-1
7 7 She’s Running Free 20.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Rio Vista 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 R Lucky Charm 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 I’m Thirsty 30.00 10.3 20-1
2 2 Bon Heir 20.00 10.6 20-1
8 8 Driven by Speed 30.00 11.6 22-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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