Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 29, 2020

February 29, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Farley 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Bondurant 6.00 4.3 8-1
12 11 Gunslinger (IRE) 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Philo 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Year of the Kitten 10.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 The Queens Jules 12.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Remember the Maine 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Hot and Heavy 15.00 7.1 13-1
13 12 Never Have I Ever (IRE) 20.00 7.8 15-1
2 2 Manhattan Project 30.00 8.2 16-1
11 10 Majestic Luna 30.00 9 17-1
10 10 Tipsy Kitten 3.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mister Maestro 30.00 10.8 20-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 I’ll Fight Dempsey 3.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Candy Machine 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Centastic 6.00 2.5 5-1
10 10 Ashiham 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Golden Wave 8.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Tiger’s Back 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Breakaway Romance 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Unprecedented 20.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Good Juju 15.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Expensive Style 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Hutcheson S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Ournationonparade 4.00 2.1 4-1
5 4 Shivaree 2.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Smash Factor 2.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 King Snake 12.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Peruvian Boy 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 With Verve 20.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Scarto 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Palm Beach S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 11 Vitalogy (GB) 4.50 3.2 6-1
10 9 Famished 10.00 3.7 7-1
7 6 South Bend 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Tiesto 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 8 Turn of Events 15.00 4.8 9-1
11 10 Fenwick Station 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Bee Catcher 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Life On Top 12.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Street Ready 12.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Sassy But Smart 15.00 6.9 13-1
6 5 Allgorilla 30.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Fancy Liquor 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Honey Fox S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 La Feve (FR) 6.00 3.1 6-1
11 11 Valedictorian 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Silver Kitten 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Miss Munnings 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Atomic Blonde 4.50 4.5 9-1
10 10 Munchkin Money 4.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Conquest Hardcandy 10.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Getmotherarose 15.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Steelin Magnolias 20.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Sweet Hitch Hiker 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Sister Hanan 15.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Scars Are Cool 2.50 2.1 4-1
7 6 McErin 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 7 Plus Que Parfait 3.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Just Whistle 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 Squeezadios 3.50 3.8 7-1
5 4 Harvey Wallbanger 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 5 Olympic Village 15.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Champagneonme 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – The Very One S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lemon Zip 4.50 3.8 7-1
4 4 Ferdinanda 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Touriga (BRZ) 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Empressof the Nile 4.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Queen of Time (GB) 12.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Cap de Creus 8.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Romantic Pursuit 6.00 6.1 12-1
12 12 English Affair 10.00 6.2 12-1
9 9 Elizabeth Way (IRE) 20.00 7.2 14-1
8 8 La Signare (FR) 12.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Raining Lemons 20.00 8.2 15-1
1 1 Layla Noor 20.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Precise Dancer 4.00 3.3 6-1
12 11 Gimme Some Mo 5.00 3.5 7-1
11 10 Hero d’Oro 6.00 3.6 7-1
9 8 Peddlers Pride 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Fried Rice King 12.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Mister Candy Ride 3.50 4.5 9-1
4 4 Awakened 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Ajhar 12.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Centurion 15.00 7 13-1
8 7 Tio Wil 20.00 8.5 16-1
10 9 Rogue Element 30.00 9.5 18-1
7 7 Speedy Mack 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Obiwan 20.00 SCRATCH
13 12 Pianzi 30.00 10.2 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Herecomesthebride S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 Lucky Polly 6.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 In a Hurry 4.00 3.9 7-1
7 6 Abscond 3.00 4.5 8-1
11 10 Sunset Promise 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 7 Stunning Sky 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 4 Cheermeister 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 8 Witez 5.00 5.8 11-1
12 11 Lost Ticket 15.00 6.3 12-1
3 2 Declarationwarrior 12.00 6.3 12-1
4 3 Ginger Kitty 15.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 Hey Kitten 20.00 7.2 14-1
2 2 Veruca 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Davona Dale S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Spice Is Nice 1.40 1.8 3-1
7 7 Bayerness 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Tonalist’s Shape 3.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Chart 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Nikki and Papa 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Reluctant Bride 15.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Emily’s Oasis 10.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Addilyn 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Dream Marie 15.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Canadian Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hay Dakota 4.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Sombeyay 4.50 3.3 6-1
9 9 Gidu (IRE) 8.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Hembree 5.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Krampus 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Louder Than Bombs 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Mr Dumas 12.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Flying Scotsman 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Caribou Club 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Gemonteer 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 English Bee 15.00 6.5 12-1
11 11 Musical Heart 20.00 8.1 15-1
13 13 Thunder Ride 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Joyful Heart 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Gulfstream Park Mile S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Bodexpress 6.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Phat Man 4.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Zenden 4.50 3.1 6-1
9 9 Mr Freeze 3.50 3.2 6-1
8 8 Rare Form 10.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Expert 8.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Hog Creek Hustle 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 True Timber 15.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Forever Mo 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 Do Share 15.00 7 13-1
2 2 Haikal 10.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Mac Diarmida S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Channel Maker 8.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Zulu Alpha 2.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sadler’s Joy 3.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 A Thread of Blue 4.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Nessy 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Morocco 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Admission Office 15.00 6 11-1
8 8 Spooky Channel 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Armistice Day 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Marzo 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 14 (Stakes) – Fasig-tipton Fountain Of Youth S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Dennis’ Moment 2.00 3.2 6-1
10 9 Shotski 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 5 As Seen On Tv 4.50 4.1 8-1
7 6 Country Grammer 15.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Candy Tycoon 15.00 4.2 8-1
8 7 Gear Jockey 20.00 5 9-1
11 10 Ete Indien 8.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Liam’s Lucky Charm 15.00 6.9 13-1
3 2 Masterday 30.00 7.5 14-1
4 3 The Falcon 50.00 9.1 17-1
2 2 Makabim 50.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Chance It 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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