Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 28, 2020

February 28, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Irish Spirit 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 T Bones Trick 2.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 Mongolian Legend 1.60 2 4-1
5 5 Salah 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Tyrannical Rex 8.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Point Hope (IRE) 2.00 2 4-1
5 5 Untouched Elegance 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Classy Atlantic 2.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Dearborn 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Wishful 5.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Malibu Cat 3.00 2 4-1
3 2 Fresh Face 4.00 2.5 5-1
8 6 Palm d’Oro 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Enriched by Deb 6.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Raneem 2.50 3.8 7-1
4 3 Pammi Dearest 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Sparkling Gem 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Enchanting Moon 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Indy Jones 1.60 1.9 4-1
2 2 Gorky Park 2.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Will Dancer 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Super Classic 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 R B Eye 5.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Border Town 1.60 2.4 4-1
4 4 Trojan Magic 3.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 On Easy Street 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Capital Call 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Mulholland Highway (IRE) 15.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Commanding Chief 2.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Silent Musketier 30.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 It’s a Riddle 1.80 2.7 5-1
5 5 Dorita’s Lemon 4.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Winning Bells 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Swingn It 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Caught in a Trappe 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Sweet Sassafrassy 6.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Restless Rambler 2.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Truth Seeker 3.50 2.1 4-1
2 2 Kazan (IRE) 2.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Snazzy Dresser 3.50 3 6-1
3 3 Reedley 5.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Midnight Swap 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tejon 3.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Seizetheday Rexy 2.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Perfect Affection 2.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 World O Luck 6.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Very Irish 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Risk Calculated 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Guinessey 30.00 5.4 10-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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