February 28, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Fevola | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Three Eyed Raven | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Cause I Said So | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | First Degree | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shadow Caster | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Colloquist | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Silver Excess | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Daria’s Angel | 1.20 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Deal | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Miss Jak | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Whyisshesoolucky | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Annie Rocks | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Philly Completely | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Mills | 0.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Ramsey | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Calculated Risker | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Purchasing Power | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | So Sublime | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Le Gros Bill | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Seed Money | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Stormin Norman | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mandatory Payout | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bassman Dave | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Chuckles | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Jim | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Ventus | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Its a Wrap | 1.60 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Line | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Phil | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Caps | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spitball | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emancipation Gold | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Not So Easy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Move | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play Me a Memory | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Unbridledadventure | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Song | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Might Be | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Johanna | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peaches and Spice | 50.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bustin Shout | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | The Caretaker | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Playthatfunnymusic | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Le General | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Bourbon | 6.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5A | 4 | Bronx Bomber | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Vicar’s Legend | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hushion | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Winifred J | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Questeq | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sea Sparkle | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Mi Mi | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Five Alarm Robin | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cape Cod Diva | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dovey Lovey | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quietude | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shesasuperfreak | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.