Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 27, 2020

February 27, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sattersfield 8.00 0.8 1-1
7 6 She’s a Queen 12.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Seaside Surprise 15.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Euro Me 4.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Michelle’s Grace 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Dixie Forest 8.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Willow Moon 3.50 7.7 15-1
5 5 Flatoutandfoxy 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Promises Kept 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Cherokee Cowgirl 8.00 1.2 2-1
8 7 Sirenic 4.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 House Drunk 5.00 1.3 2-1
4 4 Bella Mischief 12.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Worthaprettypenny 20.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 One Step 1.80 2 4-1
1 1 Collude 4.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Caged Bear 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Giro Kate 6.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Sweet Tatum 12.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Sunset Paula Jo 15.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Portal Creek 4.50 3.7 7-1
6 6 Urban Kat 8.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Enjay’s Brass 3.50 5 9-1
1A 1 Josie the E F Five 2.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Violation 5.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Drip Brew 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 All West 8.00 1.2 2-1
5 5 Aztec Empire 6.00 1.2 2-1
7 7 Secular Stagnation 4.00 1.3 2-1
6 6 Ekati’s Verve 12.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Zachry 3.50 1.8 3-1
1 1 On d’Oro 5.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Runnin’ Ray 8.00 2.2 4-1
3 3 Copper King 3.00 3.4 6-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Sergeant McNerney 20.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Knight Errant 15.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Anothrdayatthelake 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Hard to Impress 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 New Year’s Luck 10.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Coworker 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Jersey Lute 20.00 5 9-1
1 1 Dubnation 4.00 8.9 17-1
10 10 Divine Dharma 12.00 9.8 18-1
13 13 Teletap 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Scooter’s Boy 10.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Picture Painted 20.00 10.2 19-1
6 6 War Veteran 3.00 10.2 19-1
12 12 Please the Court 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Front Door 8.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Pinson 10.00 3 6-1
5 5 Flat Lucky 3.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Conquest Big E 15.00 3.8 7-1
10 8 He Will 4.50 5.3 10-1
4 4 Summer Revolution 3.50 5.6 11-1
8 6 Chicago Blues 20.00 5.7 11-1
11 9 Driven to Compete 6.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Always 10.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Divine Holiday 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 I’m Corfu 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Charlie’s Schiller 20.00 0.5 1-1
5 5 Determinant 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Fra Mauro 3.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 More Ice 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Candy Store 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Mississippi 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Lighthawk 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Cosmologist 12.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Dunph 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Socialite 3.50 1.2 2-1
5 4 Ready Orb Not 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Lady Gusto 15.00 2.5 5-1
7 6 Fashion Island 12.00 3.7 7-1
4 3 Rockin Ready 4.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Grandezza 5.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Dulce Ride 3.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Crystal Lake 5.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Hamazing Wisdom 12.00 1.4 3-1
9 8 Man in the Can 4.50 1.7 3-1
13 12 Heritage Park 8.00 2.7 5-1
2 1 Reef’s Destiny 30.00 3.1 6-1
6 5 Captain Don 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Lieutenant Powell 12.00 4 8-1
5 4 Japedo 15.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Bebop Shoes 4.00 4.6 9-1
4 3 Heisfancy 15.00 4.8 9-1
12 11 Calle Patron 20.00 6 11-1
1 1 Irish Oak 30.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Joan’s Delight 5.00 SCRATCH
11 10 Rusty Cage 6.00 10.3 20-1
8 7 Souixper Charger 3.50 13.7 26-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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