Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Tuesday, February 25, 2020

February 25, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Warriors Speak 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Lucky Dare 5.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Ella’s Lil Star 4.50 2.6 5-1
11 11 Ballerina Boogie 4.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Jewel of the Sky 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Iona Guitar 1.40 4.6 9-1
10 10 Glads Love Cat 15.00 5.6 10-1
9 9 Oleta Inez 12.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Powered by Greeley 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Angelic Kriss 20.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Mostcourageous 20.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 One Special One 20.00 8.6 16-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Top of the Page 2.50 2 4-1
4 3 Point Hope 3.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Being There 5.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Thats It Imleaving 6.00 4.5 8-1
11 11 Little Toe 10.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Nastida Mast 6.00 4.7 9-1
10 8 Outofthisgalaxy 8.00 5 9-1
9 7 Stanton C 20.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Hook 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 4 Landing Man 15.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Buck Dynasty 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hughes Dont Lose 2.50 1.1 2-1
3 3 Mr. Production 3.50 2.2 4-1
7 7 My Pal Jac 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Pretty Guilty 4.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Brad Eye 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Meet Kevin 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Lightning Harbour 12.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Masterly 3.50 2.4 4-1
11 11 Forgotten Coast 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Handsome Harve 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Zendelphian 4.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Union Salute 2.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Born Again George 8.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Philly 10.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Bellarmine 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 9 Crocodile Jacques 12.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 Ebrio 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Reddy to Bet 15.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Wabash Cannonball 20.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Nod to Persia 2.00 1.9 4-1
11 11 Traelee 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Tapalist 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Expensive 8.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Golden V C 10.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Wild Blue 10.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Britts a Closer 10.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Calculate 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Broad Decision 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Andiamo Giacomo 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Chrome Fire 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Ten Silver Pins 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Natealyze 4.50 3.5 7-1
9 9 That’s D ‘cat 3.00 4.4 8-1
10 10 Artist by the Sea 8.00 4.6 9-1
1A 12 Papa’s Big Boy 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Bet Again 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Drewsizzle 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 2 Mister Intuition 12.00 6 11-1
6 6 Tensas Toddy 10.00 6 11-1
4 3 Saponi 12.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Flashing Angelbaby 8.00 7 13-1
2 1 Titanium Pledge 15.00 9.5 18-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Madison’s Wild One 3.00 1.5 3-1
9 9 Blunt Force 4.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 The Aurelia Factor 2.50 2.7 5-1
2 2 Sweet Amelia 8.00 3 6-1
5 5 Guest Appearance 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Whisper Softly 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Flat Out Flirty 12.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Miss Loveinsky 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Mi Chachis Intenta 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Nun of Ours 4.00 2.5 5-1
4 4 Charming Flirt 6.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Storied Trip 8.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Saber Cut 2.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Grace Forever 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Wildabout Audrey 3.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Ashley Astray 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Our Amen 15.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Isadora 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Ladygogently 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Miss Bitters 3.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Quiet Trip 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Unbridled Harlan 10.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Sassy Seta 5.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Fancy Mallory 12.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 That’s a Song 15.00 5.9 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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