Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 24, 2020

February 24, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Kehron’s Creed 5.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Cool Spring 1.60 2.3 4-1
4 4 Paper Doll 4.50 2.9 5-1
7 6 Mt. Rain 6.00 3.1 6-1
8 7 Lil Ms Bossy Pants 4.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Lady Date 5.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Singing Ontherail 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Easter Girl 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Soul Beam 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Cha Vez 2.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Hero of the Hour 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Merlin’s Song 3.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 Eskendereyas Dream 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Delp 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Jackfruit 8.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Baozun 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Forty Nine Model 3.00 2 4-1
4 4 Interatifwithleu 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Catcake 3.50 2.6 5-1
5 5 Flat Scat 4.50 SCRATCH
8 6 Goodnight Gracie 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 4 Jennifer’s Arch 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Oretta 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 C’Estbon C’Estbon 12.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Nine Line Bind 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 She’s Divine 3.50 2.4 4-1
7 7 Wings of Fury 4.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Spider Dance 3.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Breakfast Pond 4.50 2.9 6-1
3 3 Bee Bit 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Banshee Birdie 6.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Brilliant Slew 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Its Cold in Dehere 2.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Pi 3.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Smokin Hot Momma 5.00 3.5 7-1
7 6 Citibike 4.50 3.6 7-1
3 2 Wild Munny 6.00 3.6 7-1
4 3 Bella Falaya 8.00 4.3 8-1
2 1 On Deck 6.00 4.5 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Tough Kicks 4.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Yes Gorgeous 5.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Dr Liz 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Sunshine Deelite 4.50 3.1 6-1
4 4 Widdle Giant 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Atchata 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Moonlight Michelle 6.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 D J Soul Sista 10.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chess Chief 0.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Johny’s Bobby 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Job Security 8.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Cornstarch 8.00 3.6 7-1
7 6 Samaronti 8.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Dr. Hipp 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 2 Galindo 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Dream Halo 15.00 5.1 10-1
4 3 Irish Wind 12.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Summers Hope 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Josie 4.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Call On Mischief 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Bayerly Seen 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Lillie Dell 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Western Taffy 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Shi O’Shi 6.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Maga Suite 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Momento 20.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Hailey’s Day 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Bet Your Bankroll 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Social Reader 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Charsey 3.00 2 4-1
2 2 See Sassy Run 4.00 2 4-1
5 5 Smart Pegasus 3.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Haute Cuisine 6.00 2.4 5-1
6 6 Krafts Magic Moon 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Orange Twister 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 7 Galaxy Star 15.00 5 9-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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