February 23, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Merneith | 1.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Regal Beauty | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Ruler | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Happy Girl | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nora’s Joy | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tower Smash | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Mo | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Unzip Me | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Lofty | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Secret Square | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rstars and Stripes | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mosienko | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Vegan | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Biddy Duke | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Violent Speed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Zorich | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unbroken Star | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Challah | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Abusive Gary | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Gronk | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bird | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Murad Khan (FR) | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brandothebartender | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | What’sontheagenda | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kiwi’s Dream (AUS) | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yes I Am Free | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Secret Courier | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Traffic Stopper | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sara Crewe | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dabzilla | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Lucky Long Legs | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Rickie Nine Toe’s | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Smart Girl | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stateforest | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Polar Route | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reds Tribal Heart | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | On the Verge | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rainwineandhereiam | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Chica | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Civil Suit | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Va Va Voom | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spreckels | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Elemental | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Secret of War | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | The Last Ruler | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cassie Belle | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | California Street | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Endeavor | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kershaw | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Acker | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pepe Tono | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Platinum Equity | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Southern King | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Proud Pedro (FR) | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Red King | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Farquhar | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crystal Tribe (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Go Daddy Go | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | M Town Gem | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mountain Spirit | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Storm the Bastille (FR) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Turn the Switch | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Desmond Doss | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kazan (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Original Intent | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Potantico | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.