Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 22, 2020

February 22, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Shaq Jack 1.20 2.8 5-1
3 3 Our Prince 3.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Mythic’s Patriot 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Brokejaw 10.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Man Alive 10.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Nocomet 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Fire Giant 15.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 She’s Gone d’Wild 4.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Miss Underrated 1.80 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lone Star Diva 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Balook 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Spider Legs 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Madam Queen 12.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Undeniably Devine 8.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Commercial Flash 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 D’or Fille 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Compromising 8.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Nana’s Joy 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Star Performer 6.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Carson’s Prospect 10.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Kool Aid Girl 2.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Front Money Morgan 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Just Cruising 30.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Aly’s Charm 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Grand Isle Girl 2.50 3 6-1
6 6 Gifted Talent 2.00 3 6-1
4 4 Zola 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Run By 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Fuhrcry 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Go My Juliet 20.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Party With Kassidy 12.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Uptown Ruler 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Lemon Blitz 3.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Al Taweel 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Eastside Boy 4.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Call the Colonel 6.00 4 8-1
4 4 Square the Circle 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Half Trick 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Outrun 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Is Too 5.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Room to Finish 2.50 4.1 8-1
4 3 Net a Bear 4.50 4.2 8-1
3 2 Fort Polk 8.00 4.4 8-1
1 5 Bermuda Star 3.00 4.5 8-1
1A 10 Mr. Al’s Gal 3.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Eskenformore 4.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Thegrayspider 15.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Elle Corredora 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hyper Piper 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rahfees Man 8.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Star Banjo 8.00 4 8-1
9 8 Ide B a Classic 12.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 B Rasen 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Ruston Vow 3.50 5.8 11-1
11 9 Captain Tyree 4.00 6 11-1
6 6 Cameron Rules 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Shaniko’s Secret 20.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Rollwithit 30.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Blue Choice 20.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Dancehall Jack 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Amazima 4.50 4.8 9-1
7 7 Red Rounder 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Strike My Fancy 8.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Rosebud’s Hope 3.50 5.8 11-1
10 10 Roussalka 8.00 6.1 12-1
2 2 Wings of Dawn 6.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Miss Mercken 10.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Russian Mafia 12.00 8 15-1
5 5 Morning Molly 8.00 8.4 16-1
6 6 Makeme Dream 10.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Midnight Sway 20.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Tiz Ella 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Miss Bigly 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Diamondcoat 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Brunette Princess 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 5 May Hour 4.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Chambliss 6.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Cheap Shot 3.50 4 8-1
3 2 Malasong 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Clever Racer 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 9 Doug’s Bug 8.00 4.3 8-1
1A 8 Highly Centsable 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Kiss of the Wolf 10.00 4.8 9-1
9 10 Roses n’ Rubies 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 4 Yes My Son 20.00 7.2 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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