February 22, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Shaq Jack | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Prince | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mythic’s Patriot | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brokejaw | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Man Alive | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nocomet | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fire Giant | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | She’s Gone d’Wild | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Underrated | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lone Star Diva | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Balook | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spider Legs | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Madam Queen | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Undeniably Devine | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Commercial Flash | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | D’or Fille | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Compromising | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nana’s Joy | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Performer | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carson’s Prospect | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kool Aid Girl | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Front Money Morgan | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Cruising | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Aly’s Charm | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Isle Girl | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gifted Talent | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zola | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run By | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fuhrcry | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Go My Juliet | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Party With Kassidy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Uptown Ruler | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lemon Blitz | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Al Taweel | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Eastside Boy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call the Colonel | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Square the Circle | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half Trick | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Outrun | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Is Too | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Room to Finish | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Net a Bear | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Fort Polk | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Bermuda Star | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 10 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Eskenformore | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Thegrayspider | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Elle Corredora | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hyper Piper | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rahfees Man | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Star Banjo | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Ide B a Classic | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | B Rasen | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruston Vow | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Captain Tyree | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cameron Rules | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shaniko’s Secret | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rollwithit | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Choice | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dancehall Jack | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Amazima | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Rounder | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Strike My Fancy | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosebud’s Hope | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roussalka | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wings of Dawn | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Mercken | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Russian Mafia | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Morning Molly | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Makeme Dream | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Midnight Sway | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tiz Ella | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Bigly | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Diamondcoat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Brunette Princess | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | May Hour | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chambliss | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Cheap Shot | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Malasong | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Clever Racer | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Doug’s Bug | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Highly Centsable | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kiss of the Wolf | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Roses n’ Rubies | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Yes My Son | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.