Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 22, 2020

February 22, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Stars Forever 1.60 2.2 4-1
9 9 Sneaky Freak 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Alys Episode 8.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 J.’s Girl 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Dancepark 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Eye On the Ladies 12.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Stormy Merlot 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Two Bad Sistas 15.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Brooklyn’s Grip 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Skylar’s Way 3.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Jozzy Bell 4.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Angel Cat 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Our Easter Lily 3.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Mitch’s Pins 4.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Adieu Mallory 6.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Ranger Connection 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Bulletsandbourbon 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 She’s a Penalty 30.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Canadian Girl 30.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Catbalee 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jerry’s Legacy 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Asuka 5.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Lodi Mist 1.60 4.3 8-1
4 4 Laci Lu 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 I’m All Mixed Up 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Lukes Secret 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 She Wants Half 12.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Noon’s Babygirl 10.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 B G’s Dreamcatcher 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Guilty Confession 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Miss Underrated 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Here Comes Linda 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Spirit of Caledon 3.50 2.8 5-1
7 7 Red Wined Up 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Cavallotto 1.40 4.2 8-1
2 2 Magnanimus Man 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Overnight Stay 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Cajun Carmelized 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Quality Production 6.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Trapper Peak 12.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Leftfieldjunction 20.00 6.5 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Moonfield 3.00 2.9 6-1
9 9 Island Blue 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Gladys’ Frontier 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Champagne Moment 4.50 4.8 9-1
2 2 First Off 2.50 5 9-1
6 6 De Last Dance 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Leighton Kentucky 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Go Selma T 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Maggie True 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Honest Tina 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Victory Bind 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Slammin’ Mike 2.50 4.2 8-1
9 9 Reversaloffortune 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Smokin’ Truth 4.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Zens Secret 10.00 5.6 10-1
1 1 Brazoswildcat 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Thunder and Rain 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Donna’s Court 15.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Blaising Guitar 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 Time to Stroll 20.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Majestic Hero 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Loftin 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 And Yet Another 5.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Grand Little Man 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Shot On Windy Hill 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Speedactus 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Classic Heath 8.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Here Comes Homer 2.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 Interactif Moment 3.50 4.7 9-1
8 8 A Little Risky 12.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Dr Hesse 20.00 7.5 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Aloha Betty 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Fleet Halo 6.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Ten Count Out 1.80 3.8 7-1
8 8 Ima Discreet Lady 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Wild Mallory 6.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 New Orleans Spice 15.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Suzette 12.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Unprovoked 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Belinda 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Cabo Sunset 4.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Siberianproduction 8.00 5 9-1
5 5 Sudden Afleet 6.00 5 9-1
9 9 Elizabeth’s Music 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 We Can Dream 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Queezer 20.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Zugersee 15.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Nana’s Magic 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Mary’s Wish 20.00 9 17-1
10 10 Grillin 3.00 SCRATCH
12 12 My Little Charlie 3.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.