Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 22, 2020

February 22, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Informed Consent 3.50 1.3 3-1
4 4 Sneads 0.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 Splitting Eights 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Tony Small 2.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Seediskid 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Tio Blas 20.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Well in Tune 30.00 6.1 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Rally Cap 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 We Should Talk 1.60 2.3 4-1
5 5 Daddy D T 2.50 2.4 5-1
3 3 Moneymeister 8.00 3 6-1
1 1 Lucky Six 10.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Booby Trap 20.00 4 8-1
2 2 Professor Snape 30.00 5.8 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Honey Money 1.60 1.2 2-1
2 2 Pot of Hunny 3.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Choose Happiness 5.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Leyte 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 New York Supreme 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Idaka 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Smokin Hot Kiss 20.00 5.9 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Letmetakethiscall 1.40 2 4-1
2 1 Bertranda 1.60 2.1 4-1
3 3 Dirty Bird 8.00 SCRATCH
4 2 Tayler’s the Boss 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 3 First Forever 10.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Camorra 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Preternatural 3.50 3 6-1
2 2 Mac’s Revolution 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 No More Miracles 4.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Beach Front 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Letzgometz 15.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Septimius Severus 2.00 3.8 7-1
11 11 Talent Scout 15.00 4.5 9-1
8 8 I’m Elmer J Fudd 12.00 4.8 9-1
10 10 Running Violence 30.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Takeoff 30.00 7.5 14-1
1 1 Union Wise 50.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Jerry the Nipper 2.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 A Vow of Beauty 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Aintitfunkynow 2.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Farragut 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Whichwaytomalibu 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 6 Stash My Money 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Unbridled John 12.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Emcee Prime 30.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Playwright 3.00 2 4-1
4 3 Joe’s Smokin Gun 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 5 Big Mountain 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 2 Carthon 4.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Durkin’s Call 6.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Horoscope 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Frosted Ice 10.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Real Dan 30.00 6.1 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Haynesfield S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 I Love Jaxson 5.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Mr. Buff 0.80 2.2 4-1
2 2 Syndergaard 3.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Honor Up 4.00 2.7 5-1
5 4 Twisted Tom 12.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Fleet Irish 30.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Just Stay Home 4.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Mizzen the Mark 8.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Broadway Angel 3.50 3.1 6-1
8 8 Desbordes 3.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Wicked Kheisha 6.00 4.3 8-1
9 9 Stuy Town Baby 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Empress Luciana 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Shes Euphoric 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Lil Morning Star 20.00 7.6 14-1
10 10 Playboys Pitch 30.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 On to Cincinnati 30.00 8.6 16-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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