Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, February 19, 2020

February 19, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Due Apeal 12.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Tiz a Secret 2.50 2.8 5-1
5 5 Cajun Cash 8.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Dad Said No 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Binding 4.50 SCRATCH
9 7 Maddy’s Pro 10.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Hot Ten 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Get It to Geaux 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Don’t Split Tens 5.00 5.5 10-1
8 6 Familiar Rhythm 15.00 6.8 13-1
7 5 Simba’s Pride 20.00 7 13-1
10 8 Raise Em Up 20.00 8.1 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Giant Mesa 5.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 For the Hustle 8.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Prizeless 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Strong Side 4.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Shangroyal 3.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Haynesville 6.00 4.8 9-1
10 8 Sunnyonastormyday 15.00 5.4 10-1
8 6 Bold Bulldog 20.00 6.7 13-1
9 7 D’tuff Cat Rey 20.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Risky Steps 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 One Fine Pinot 8.00 SCRATCH
9 8 Ours to Hold 2.50 2.7 5-1
1 1 Last Destiny 5.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Royal Sass 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Miss Manassas 2.00 4.4 8-1
8 7 Salt Life Angel 12.00 5.3 10-1
6 5 Holy Song 20.00 5.8 11-1
10 9 Smooth Rapids 20.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Lady King 20.00 6.1 12-1
11 10 Boston Baby 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 6 Red Rebel Star 30.00 8 15-1
3 3 Mayreese 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Man Camp 3.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Discreetly D 2.50 3 6-1
9 9 Charlies Ticket 12.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Bayou Bode 10.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Alluring Actor 5.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 D’dawson 6.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Successful Ryker 10.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Huffs Taz a Boo 20.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Song N a Cat 15.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Fuelinjectedprayer 15.00 6.2 12-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Just Willow 3.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Take Charge Taylor 12.00 4 7-1
8 8 Ten Tap Dances 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Shrew Grit 2.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Ranger Connection 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bankers Honour 15.00 5.3 10-1
11 11 Mitch’s Pins 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Miss Mabelee 4.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Diamond for Crider 10.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Our Lady’s Prayer 20.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Oh My Gosh Becky 30.00 7.2 14-1
4 4 Smoothoutthetrack 30.00 8.9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Dreaming of Curlin 3.00 1.7 3-1
5 5 Sha U Cute 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Enough Heart 6.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Nineoneoneprayer 8.00 3.5 7-1
8 8 Rose Crown 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 She’s a Fair Catch 5.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Awishforgreeley 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Bossy’s Trouble 20.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Golden Smiles 12.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Southern Galaxy 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nomo Ron 4.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Miltontown 4.50 2 4-1
4 4 Pleasant d’Oro 5.00 2.9 5-1
9 9 Most Mischief 10.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Alpha to Omega 3.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Plot Twist 6.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Around the Dial 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Mistake Present 15.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Gracida 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Randy Paul 1.40 2.3 4-1
5 4 Jade Star 6.00 2.7 5-1
1 5 Just Kissing Buck 1.40 SCRATCH
6 6 Our Smitty 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Alex’s Turn 8.00 3.2 6-1
7 8 Shaboxxo 1.80 3.7 7-1
2 1 Montbrooks Miracle 20.00 4.7 9-1
3 2 Run Away Ralph 20.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lil Bit of Justice 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Amphibian 2.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Canrunalittle 4.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Richter 12.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 Maclean’s Silver 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Toocan Dance 12.00 5.9 11-1
8 8 Remember Me Pop 5.00 6.1 11-1
12 12 Geaux Dubai 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Good Air 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 St Basil 15.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Bayou Ruby 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Big Count 20.00 8.9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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