February 19, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Due Apeal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Tiz a Secret | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cajun Cash | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Dad Said No | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Binding | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Maddy’s Pro | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Hot Ten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Get It to Geaux | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Don’t Split Tens | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Familiar Rhythm | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Simba’s Pride | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Raise Em Up | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Giant Mesa | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | For the Hustle | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prizeless | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Strong Side | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shangroyal | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Haynesville | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Sunnyonastormyday | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Bold Bulldog | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | D’tuff Cat Rey | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Risky Steps | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | One Fine Pinot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Ours to Hold | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Last Destiny | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Sass | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Miss Manassas | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Salt Life Angel | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holy Song | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Smooth Rapids | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady King | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Boston Baby | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Red Rebel Star | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mayreese | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Man Camp | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Discreetly D | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Charlies Ticket | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou Bode | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alluring Actor | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | D’dawson | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Successful Ryker | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Huffs Taz a Boo | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Song N a Cat | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fuelinjectedprayer | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Just Willow | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Taylor | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ten Tap Dances | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shrew Grit | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ranger Connection | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bankers Honour | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mitch’s Pins | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mabelee | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Diamond for Crider | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Lady’s Prayer | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Oh My Gosh Becky | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Smoothoutthetrack | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dreaming of Curlin | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sha U Cute | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Enough Heart | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nineoneoneprayer | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rose Crown | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Fair Catch | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Awishforgreeley | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bossy’s Trouble | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Smiles | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Southern Galaxy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nomo Ron | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miltontown | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasant d’Oro | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Most Mischief | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alpha to Omega | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Plot Twist | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Around the Dial | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mistake Present | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gracida | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Randy Paul | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Jade Star | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Just Kissing Buck | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Our Smitty | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Alex’s Turn | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Shaboxxo | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Montbrooks Miracle | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Run Away Ralph | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lil Bit of Justice | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amphibian | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canrunalittle | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richter | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maclean’s Silver | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Toocan Dance | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Remember Me Pop | 5.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Geaux Dubai | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Good Air | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | St Basil | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bayou Ruby | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Count | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.