Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, February 17, 2020

February 17, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Stakes) – Little Magician S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 8 Wise to Listen 20.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 High Noon Rider 4.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 My Point Exactly 10.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Dalarna 12.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Cause for Pardon 20.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Ice Tea 5.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Tiger Blood 1.80 6.6 13-1
4 4 King Orb 10.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Alien Invasion 12.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Tropicat 10.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Beast Mode 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Stakes) – Trust Buster S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Who’s Out 3.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Whyruawesome 3.00 3 6-1
5 5 Travy Boy 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Vinnie Van Go 6.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Jersey Joe B 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Take Charge Dude 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Stakes) – Mary Todd S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Pugilist 6.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Admiral’s Win 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Lucky Long 2.50 3.6 7-1
3 3 Bareeqa 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Itsmyluckycharm 4.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Dynatail 3.50 4 8-1
2 2 Amazing Audrey 10.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Stakes) – Lady Bird S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Free to Fly 6.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Bargainaire 15.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 I’ll Take the Cake 3.50 3.6 7-1
5 5 Flashing Diamond 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Liza Star 1.40 4.1 8-1
2 2 Lady Alida 15.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Distinctive Lady 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Stakes) – Mrs. Presidentress S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Tournesol 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 La Cara Bonita 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 6 Queen of God 3.50 6.1 12-1
8 7 Rising Bella 4.00 6.2 12-1
12 8 Wicked Solution 8.00 6.4 12-1
5 4 Queen Field 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 1 La Rusia 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Richies Great Girl 3.00 7.2 14-1
3 3 Little Bit Good 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Princess Ulele 15.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Drop a Hint 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Addison 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zaino Boyz 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Aye Aye Sir 3.50 3.3 6-1
1 1 Muchmorethanthis 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Cajun Casanova 1.60 3.6 7-1
6 6 Golden Candy 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Factorino 6.00 4 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Stakes) – Rough And Ready S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 To Dare 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Il Faraone 15.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 Yodel E. A. Who 3.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Sycamore Lane 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Dizzy Gillespie 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Quenane 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Yes I See 8.00 4.5 8-1
7 7 Sensational Ride 3.50 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Stakes) – American Fabius S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Blood Moon 8.00 3.5 7-1
10 10 Ain’t Wasting Time 8.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 K W Captain Hook 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Disc Jockey 1.80 5.5 10-1
7 7 Causalistic 10.00 5.7 11-1
11 11 Beyond Gone 15.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Iberico 4.50 6.2 12-1
6 6 Makabim 20.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Captain D 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Scarto 20.00 7.4 14-1
9 9 Fast Loaded 6.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Stakes) – Sage Of Monticello S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Reckless Spirit 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Assertiko 15.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 Justinthenickotime 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Fentynola 20.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Monforte 1.80 5.4 10-1
4 4 Prince Khozan 5.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Vintage Kitten 15.00 6 11-1
2 2 Allgorilla 20.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Uncork the Bottle 4.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 K W Captain Flint 6.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Stakes) – Rail Splitter S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Fortune Cookie 10.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Benefactor 4.00 3.6 7-1
8 8 Early Entry 4.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Colour Guard 2.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Storm Advisory 12.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 First Deal 3.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Home Base 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Noon Time Gem 12.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Starter Stakes) – Old Man Eloquent S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Create Again 20.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Aquaphobia 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 8 Salute the Colonel 6.00 5.6 11-1
7 6 Temple 6.00 6.1 12-1
8 7 Muggsamatic 3.50 6.2 12-1
4 3 Basha 20.00 6.9 13-1
5 4 Class and Cash 8.00 7 13-1
2 1 Brucarita 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 9 Dubby Dubbie 20.00 7.7 15-1
12 11 Dr. Shane 10.00 7.9 15-1
13 12 Grand Journey 4.00 8.3 16-1
11 10 Dr. Edgar 4.50 8.4 16-1
1 1 Apreciado 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Flowers for Lisa 2.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Expert 2.50 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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