February 17, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3A | 3 | Smart Set | 1.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1A | 1 | Giveitsomewellie | 1.40 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Malevolence | 1.60 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Masons Friend | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kashmir Queen | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dare to Try | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jennemily | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stand for the Flag | 1.20 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honor Way | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Matty’s Magnum | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Avalina | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Party | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zuzudini | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bubba Chuck | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Distorted Sky | 1.20 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cowtown | 1.60 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Replicant | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mental Model | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Digital Footprint | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Bobby | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tale of Mist | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cause of Action | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Hardcore Folklore | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Invest | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Who’s in Charge | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Seanow | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Latin Love Bug | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Nuclear Code | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu Action | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Forty Factor | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Scarf It Down | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Laura’s Posse | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Liam Lets Go | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | So Sublime | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brimstone | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blueblood | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Make Or Break | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lake Chicot | 15.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vibrancy | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cruising Strong | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rude Awaking | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The New Miami | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bella Invasion | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wiggle and Jiggle | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Officer Hutchy | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Accabonac Harbor | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trouble for Skylar | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Party in the Raine | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5A | 5 | Bustin Scones | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Awesome Debate | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ella’s Song | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queendom | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wailin Josie | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jacqueline D | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Bustin to Please | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Hollie Hughes S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Eye Luv Lulu | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Binkster | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cerretalto | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arthur’s Hope | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amundson | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Morning Breez | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | P J Advantage | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Tate | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 13 | Saratoga Pal | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Walrus Gumboot | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Signified | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Devil’s Code | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Ernie Banker | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lorenzen | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Threepointninenine | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Dangerous Edge | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Daithi | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Krugerrand | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Double Shot | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | More Graytful | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Liquor | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Palace | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Constant Quest | 50.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.