February 16, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bella Vita | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bella D | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Win Like Coach P | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dim Lights | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Time for Sally | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | On Mars | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rain Diva | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flying Business | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elgofranco | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ride Sally Ride | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lets Get Wild | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sophomoric | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Love Your Life | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain N. Barron | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Ultimatum | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Papa Turf | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Seeker | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Short of Ez | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Burn Me Twice | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Boy Howdy | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Isee It in Hiseyes | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Ci Voleva | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marci the Great | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Too Much Smoke | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Creer | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warren’s Empress | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kissable U | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rose’s Crystal | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Babe | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unusual Secret | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nocherylikemychery | 4.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Charlatan | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Lane Way | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Capo Mafioso | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shooters Shoot | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | J Z My Man | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Jeffnjohn’sthundr | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | If Id Told You | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Margot’s Boy | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Include the Tax | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baltimore Beecho | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fly the Sky | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Podres | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desert Dude | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Fire | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dapper | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Scouted | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Minoso | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Big Barrel | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rickey B | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Posterize | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Belong to Becky | 3.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Policy | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Afternoon Heat | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Black Storm | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rick’s Dream | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tigre Di Slugo | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jen Go Unchained | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sweet Life S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Orquidias Biz | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Lighthouse | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Spitefulness | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Sky Baby | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Laura’s Light | 1.20 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roadrunner’s Honor | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Florentine Diamond | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shines Her Light (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | My Journey | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Peedie | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Meadway | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Starship Chewy | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moana Luna | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cross Town | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speakerofthehouse | 3.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nil Phet | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ziyanair | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | An American Jet | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sharpshootingeorge | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Rough Ride | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | The Easy Way | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Strong Ruler | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.