Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 16, 2020

February 16, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bella Vita 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Bella D 20.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Win Like Coach P 8.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Dim Lights 8.00 5 9-1
2 2 Time for Sally 4.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 On Mars 6.00 5.5 10-1
10 10 Rain Diva 15.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Flying Business 8.00 7 13-1
7 7 Elgofranco 5.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Ride Sally Ride 12.00 7.8 15-1
11 11 Lets Get Wild 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sophomoric 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Love Your Life 8.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Captain N. Barron 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Wicked Ultimatum 8.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Papa Turf 2.50 4.6 9-1
1 1 Royal Seeker 20.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Short of Ez 3.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Burn Me Twice 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Boy Howdy 8.00 5.8 11-1
9 9 Isee It in Hiseyes 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Ci Voleva 6.00 2.9 5-1
8 8 Marci the Great 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Too Much Smoke 12.00 3.7 7-1
10 10 Creer 3.00 4.6 9-1
5 5 Warren’s Empress 6.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Kissable U 8.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Rose’s Crystal 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Lucky Babe 8.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Unusual Secret 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Nocherylikemychery 4.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Charlatan 2.00 1.3 3-1
2 1 Lane Way 1.80 1.8 3-1
3 2 Capo Mafioso 6.00 2.8 5-1
4 3 Shooters Shoot 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 J Z My Man 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jeffnjohn’sthundr 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 If Id Told You 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Margot’s Boy 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Include the Tax 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Baltimore Beecho 15.00 5 9-1
9 9 Fly the Sky 2.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Johnny Podres 8.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Desert Dude 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Summer Fire 6.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Dapper 12.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 Scouted 20.00 4.3 8-1
10 9 Minoso 12.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Big Barrel 20.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Rickey B 20.00 5.3 10-1
12 11 Posterize 6.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 I Belong to Becky 3.50 5.4 10-1
6 5 Policy 6.00 5.6 11-1
2 2 Afternoon Heat 4.00 6.3 12-1
7 6 Black Storm 15.00 6.6 12-1
11 10 Rick’s Dream 20.00 6.6 13-1
5 4 Tigre Di Slugo 3.00 6.7 13-1
4 4 Jen Go Unchained 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sweet Life S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Orquidias Biz 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 4 Lighthouse 5.00 4.6 9-1
8 7 Spitefulness 15.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Blue Sky Baby 5.00 5.4 10-1
6 5 Laura’s Light 1.20 5.8 11-1
7 6 Roadrunner’s Honor 12.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Florentine Diamond 20.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Shines Her Light (IRE) 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 My Journey 6.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Peedie 8.00 7 13-1
3 3 Meadway 20.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Starship Chewy 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Moana Luna 6.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Cross Town 3.50 8 15-1
7 7 Speakerofthehouse 3.00 8.2 15-1
12 12 Nil Phet 15.00 8.3 16-1
14 14 Ziyanair 5.00 8.4 16-1
8 8 An American Jet 8.00 9.1 17-1
1 1 Sharpshootingeorge 0.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Rough Ride 0.00 SCRATCH
11 11 The Easy Way 0.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Strong Ruler 50.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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