February 16, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mixtape | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Agave Queen | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spectacular Temper | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Kala | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quiet Dawn | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dark Sarcasm | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mebs Web | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | African Warrior | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Prince Leo | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Grahamstan | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Sugar Town | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Agave Kid | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Random Affair | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Officer Donell | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Drexel | 1.80 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pearlthirtyeight | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Unbridled Shoes | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arkansas Red | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Reverend Don | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Daddy Jack | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Gotta Love Ike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | C H Jay | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pop Life | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hamazing Vision | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mostly Sunny | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caddo Daddo | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Suspicious Eyes | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | October Sky | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bendi Blu | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Weneedtotalk | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Touch Me | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Way too Smarte | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Girl Abby | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ransomed | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Backseat Promises | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Darling Sofia | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Holy Truth | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | The Devil’s Daddy | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sequence | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Therunawayrocket | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shameful Preacher | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Marco’s Dream | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rock City Rocket | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Back Road Outlaw | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | My Little Tip | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bank Man | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Summertimer | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Leo Del Reo | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Gone Dancing | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Slightly Crafty | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Daring | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Button Mushroom | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frozen Hannah | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonlight Train | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cowgirl Callie | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cook Memories | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Honor With Pride | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Different Days | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rasslin | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Temple Bar | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Feeling It | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Rush | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Naughty Alfred | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | T C’s Image | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ah Yeah | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Devils Back | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Violator | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Full of Grace | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sara Sea | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wholehearted | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hoptown Honey | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Emboldened | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heavens Whisper | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Storm | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Icecap | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heros Reward | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mega Max | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Selleck | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Son of Ga Ga | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catholic Guilt | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Instigated | 3.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lido Legacy | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | No Bad Days | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dazzling Reunion | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6A | 6 | High Tone | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Bad Bud | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13A | 13 | Went | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.