Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 16, 2020

February 16, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mixtape 10.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Agave Queen 5.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Spectacular Temper 2.00 4 8-1
2 2 Sweet Kala 3.50 4.7 9-1
1 1 Quiet Dawn 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Dark Sarcasm 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Mebs Web 8.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 African Warrior 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Prince Leo 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 9 Grahamstan 5.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 My Sugar Town 15.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Agave Kid 15.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Random Affair 10.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Officer Donell 15.00 6.9 13-1
12 11 Drexel 1.80 6.9 13-1
6 6 Pearlthirtyeight 8.00 7.4 14-1
11 10 Unbridled Shoes 15.00 7.8 15-1
7 7 Arkansas Red 6.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Reverend Don 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Daddy Jack 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Gotta Love Ike 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 C H Jay 6.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Pop Life 4.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Hamazing Vision 2.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Mostly Sunny 15.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Caddo Daddo 3.50 5.1 10-1
6 6 Suspicious Eyes 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 October Sky 5.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Bendi Blu 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Weneedtotalk 2.50 3.3 6-1
7 7 Can’t Touch Me 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Way too Smarte 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Our Girl Abby 10.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Ransomed 2.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Backseat Promises 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 My Darling Sofia 6.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Holy Truth 10.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 The Devil’s Daddy 4.50 6 11-1
11 11 Sequence 3.00 6 11-1
6 6 Therunawayrocket 8.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Shameful Preacher 12.00 6.6 12-1
10 10 Marco’s Dream 12.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Rock City Rocket 5.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Back Road Outlaw 15.00 7 13-1
9 9 My Little Tip 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Bank Man 12.00 8 15-1
1 1 Summertimer 15.00 8.2 16-1
3 3 Leo Del Reo 8.00 8.7 16-1
13 13 Gone Dancing 8.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Slightly Crafty 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Daring 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Button Mushroom 15.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Frozen Hannah 3.50 4.6 9-1
6 6 Moonlight Train 2.50 4.7 9-1
3 3 Cowgirl Callie 4.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Cook Memories 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Honor With Pride 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Different Days 4.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Rasslin 20.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Temple Bar 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Feeling It 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Perfect Rush 3.50 5.2 10-1
1 1 Naughty Alfred 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 T C’s Image 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Ah Yeah 6.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 The Devils Back 6.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Violator 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Full of Grace 10.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Sara Sea 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Wholehearted 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Hoptown Honey 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Emboldened 2.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Heavens Whisper 3.00 4 8-1
4 4 Summer Storm 3.50 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Icecap 4.50 5 9-1
7 7 Heros Reward 6.00 5 9-1
1 1 Mega Max 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Selleck 20.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Son of Ga Ga 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Catholic Guilt 6.00 6 11-1
11 11 Instigated 3.50 6.4 12-1
10 10 Lido Legacy 4.00 6.7 13-1
9 9 No Bad Days 12.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Dazzling Reunion 30.00 7.6 14-1
6A 6 High Tone 8.00 8.3 16-1
12 12 Big Bad Bud 30.00 SCRATCH
13A 13 Went 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Upcoming Bankroll Contests
Wednesday Gulfstream Park
Begins Wed, Feb 26 1:00 PM ET
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