February 16, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sea Ghost | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vero Sun | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Galerio | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kukulkan | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | The Cairo Kid | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Lady Kim | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My T Talk | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prank Call | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joyful Noise | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Slewzer | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fender Baby | 2.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Talking Girl | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Savedbythebelle | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bow Maker | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gauzy | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Tomorrow | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Fox | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Al Brown | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Cohiba | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bright Dawn | 0.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maclean’s Legacy | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Rainbow | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord Tiz | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Our Star | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reflect | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olive Kat | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hendaya | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truly Hot | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Heatherly | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Documented | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7A | 7 | Total Access | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Distilled Spirit | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Five Card Draw | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Justin Front | 1.20 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D C Fireman | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fugiwhara | 3.50 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Forfiftyfiverocket | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Let’s Rumble | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ravenel | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Life in Flash | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Case Dismissed | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wilko Lovesong | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dean’s Ticket | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.