Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 16, 2020

February 16, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sea Ghost 8.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Vero Sun 1.60 3.2 6-1
5 5 Galerio 2.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Kukulkan 20.00 3.5 7-1
2 2 The Cairo Kid 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lady Kim 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 6 My T Talk 1.80 2.9 5-1
4 4 Prank Call 12.00 3 6-1
2 2 Joyful Noise 8.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Slewzer 10.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Fender Baby 2.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sweet Talking Girl 4.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Savedbythebelle 3.00 2.4 4-1
4 4 Bow Maker 15.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Gauzy 2.00 4 8-1
2 2 Queen of Tomorrow 4.50 4 8-1
5 5 Lady Fox 3.50 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Al Brown 6.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Souper Cohiba 4.50 2 4-1
3 3 Bright Dawn 0.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Maclean’s Legacy 15.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Mr. Rainbow 30.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Lord Tiz 6.00 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Our Star 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 Reflect 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Olive Kat 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Hendaya 3.00 3.4 7-1
4 4 Truly Hot 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Heatherly 15.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Documented 30.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7A 7 Total Access 4.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Distilled Spirit 15.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Five Card Draw 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Justin Front 1.20 3.6 7-1
2 2 D C Fireman 4.50 5 10-1
8 8 Fugiwhara 3.50 8.9 17-1
1A 1 Forfiftyfiverocket 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Let’s Rumble 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ravenel 2.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Life in Flash 3.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Swirrlie Shirlie 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Case Dismissed 1.80 3.8 7-1
2 2 Wilko Lovesong 20.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Dean’s Ticket 12.00 5.6 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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