February 16, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Welling | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Perceived | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mutakaamil | 1.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Road Home | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ownitifyouwantit | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bossy Bride | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mi Mi | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Girl of Tosconova | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Love and Love | 1.20 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happycrest | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dazzle Me | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sky Queen | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heavenly Curlin | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sengekontacket | 1.40 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inveterate | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Twenty Seven | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wishes and Dreams | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tequila Sunday | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Appletini | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Countable | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Cool as You Like | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bennys Tribute | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Movie Score | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Risaalaat | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Evan’s Nice Now | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Union Banks | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alert the Media | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Determined One | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Implied Volatility | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Honour | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lorcan | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gongheifatchoy | 2.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gratto Swing | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Queen Kahen | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carrizo | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’s a Black Belt | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Aunt Babe | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Break Curfew | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7A | 6 | My Roxy Girl | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forgotten Hero | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sea Sparkle | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dating Game | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4A | 4 | Science Fiction | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | High Amplitude | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | I Love Jaxson | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scoreswhenhewants | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Singapore Trader | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | House Limit | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zealous | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hip Hip Jorge | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hersh | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gander S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wild Banker | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Colormepazzi | 20.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chowda | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Bank On Shea | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bourbon Bay | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Scilly Cay | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Microscope | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dooley | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hizaam | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sounds Good | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Booby Trap | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jack Bo | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Le Gros Bill | 50.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Local Edition | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Purchasing Power | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woodbury | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Zonic | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.