Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, February 16, 2020

February 16, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Welling 8.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Perceived 1.60 2.1 4-1
5 4 Mutakaamil 1.00 2.5 5-1
4 3 Road Home 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Ownitifyouwantit 6.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Bossy Bride 3.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Miss Mi Mi 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Girl of Tosconova 5.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Love and Love 1.20 3.4 6-1
2 2 Happycrest 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Dazzle Me 15.00 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Sky Queen 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Heavenly Curlin 4.50 3.2 6-1
5 5 Sengekontacket 1.40 3.3 6-1
1 1 Inveterate 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Super Twenty Seven 12.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Wishes and Dreams 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tequila Sunday 15.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Appletini 6.00 3 6-1
4 4 Countable 2.50 SCRATCH
6 5 Cool as You Like 10.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Big Bennys Tribute 2.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Movie Score 30.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Risaalaat 2.50 4.4 8-1
7 6 Evan’s Nice Now 20.00 4.5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Union Banks 5.00 1.9 4-1
7 7 Alert the Media 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Determined One 6.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Implied Volatility 1.80 3.7 7-1
3 3 Blessed Honour 30.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Lorcan 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Gongheifatchoy 2.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Gratto Swing 12.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Queen Kahen 4.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Carrizo 8.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 She’s a Black Belt 6.00 3.5 7-1
9 8 Aunt Babe 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Break Curfew 8.00 3.9 7-1
7A 6 My Roxy Girl 1.60 4.1 8-1
3 3 Forgotten Hero 12.00 4.1 8-1
5 4 Sea Sparkle 30.00 4.7 9-1
10 9 Dating Game 20.00 6 11-1
4A 4 Science Fiction 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 8 High Amplitude 2.50 3.1 6-1
3 2 I Love Jaxson 3.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Scoreswhenhewants 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 5 Crea’s Bklyn Law 10.00 3.7 7-1
8 7 Singapore Trader 10.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 House Limit 4.00 4.3 8-1
7 6 Zealous 12.00 5 9-1
4 3 Hip Hip Jorge 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Hersh 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Gander S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Wild Banker 15.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Colormepazzi 20.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Chowda 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 3 Bank On Shea 2.50 3.5 7-1
6 5 Bourbon Bay 2.00 4 8-1
7 6 Scilly Cay 1.80 4.2 8-1
1 1 Microscope 12.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dooley 8.00 2.9 6-1
5 5 Hizaam 0.80 3.7 7-1
1 1 Sounds Good 20.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Booby Trap 15.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Jack Bo 8.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Le Gros Bill 50.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Local Edition 30.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Purchasing Power 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Woodbury 10.00 5.1 10-1
10 10 Zonic 4.50 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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