Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 15, 2020

February 15, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lucy’s Journey 15.00 3 6-1
1 1 Song of the Night 0.40 3.4 7-1
3 3 Lady Licious 12.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 Hickory Made 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Shyla Girl 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Paloma Gris 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Talented Dr. B 5.00 2 4-1
4 4 Rumson Rally 2.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Wall 20.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Voodoo Valley 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Alphastest 3.00 4.2 8-1
5A 5 Jimmy Idontknowya 4.50 4.2 8-1
1 1 Banishment 15.00 SCRATCH
7A 7 Catapult Jack 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Mama’s Grey Ghost 1.80 2.3 4-1
5 5 Darling’s Cure 6.00 2.4 4-1
6 6 Deco Strong 2.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Special Freedom 10.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Sweep the Board 30.00 4 8-1
2 2 Factorintheheat 3.50 4.5 8-1
7 7 Bourbon Gypsy 15.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – John B. Campbell S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Forewarned 10.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Someday Jones 2.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Alwaysmining 3.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Bonus Points 20.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Monongahela 2.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Wait for It 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Senior Investment 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Wide Country S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Bankruptonthebeach 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Princess Cadey 5.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Lady George 15.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 She’smysunshine 12.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Bella Aurora 3.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Miss Marissa 4.00 5.1 10-1
7 7 Naughty Thoughts 5.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Paisley Singing 30.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Sunday Inn 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Miracle Wood S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Amen Corner 10.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Bernie’s On Fire 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Lebda 4.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Dreams Untold 2.50 3.7 7-1
8 8 Mine Not Mine 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Albert Park 3.50 4.6 9-1
4 4 New Commission 8.00 4.8 9-1
9 9 Romanoff 15.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Gray Gary 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Runhappy Barbara Fritchie S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Victim of Love 8.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Saguaro Row 1.80 2.7 5-1
3 3 Blue Eyed Girl 8.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Anna’s Bandit 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 6 Needs Supervision 4.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Majestic Reason 4.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – General George S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lone Rock 15.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Honor the Fleet 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Factor It In 15.00 4 8-1
7 7 Threes Over Deuces 12.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Still Having Fun 10.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Tiz He the One 8.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Firenze Fire 0.80 5.7 11-1
2 2 Wonderful Light 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Wicked Trick 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Seany P 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Hero’s Hope 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Absolved 3.50 3.7 7-1
2 2 Stroll Smokin 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 Golden Surge 6.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Major Flirt 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Rough Sea 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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