February 15, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Nikkis Kitten | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Johnnie Merle (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Dreamalildreamofu | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lea’s Princess | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Broadway Lady | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet N Salty Kiss | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Audrey’s Time | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Teller to Sing | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Patti | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Happy Thought | 12.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Bay | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Artistic Jewler | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Fine One Won | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Wild Love | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Skye Snow | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Stop Shoppin Tammy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Money Cometh | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fort Knox | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | McShady | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elite Class | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lastchanceatglory | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Battle | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Airstreem | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ain’t No Elmers | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liam’s Tempest | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nasty | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Readyformycloseup | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chick Be Quick | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Anima Gemella | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Legal Limit | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salaciousacusation | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | East Lex | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Enchanted Empire | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Autumn Jett | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deanos Cape | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Divulgence | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Free Spender | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spanish Kingdom | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Small Talk | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Templet | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Decision Maker | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Auburn Hills | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Declared | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischievous Mo | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lokoya Road | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Hoffa | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16A | 16 | Dack Janiel’s | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ranaan | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Winning Impression | 1.20 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disclosure | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sharecropper | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shake Some Action | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Chestertown | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Drewpower | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unthrottled | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Colonel Power S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Malpais | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Star of Kodiak | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Powell | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chaos Theory | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | McFeely | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Blind Ambition | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Boat | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Made You Look | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Just Might | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nicky Numbers | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Early Mischief | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Salado | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Chrystal Sphere | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quana Dude | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Verb | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Malahini | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amani’s Eagle | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Good Clean Fun | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Mystic Guide | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brother Martin | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Total Destruction | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3A | 3 | Olson | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Albert M. Stall Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Flower Party (IRE) | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elsa | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Irisa (ARG) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Notapradaprice | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Aife | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Makealitlemischief | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Quebec | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stave | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | May Lily | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Quick Witted | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Don’t Tell Marge | 10.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mitchell Road | 2.50 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Zofelle (IRE) | 3.50 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’sonthewarpath | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Area | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Makeme Dream | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Mineshaft S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Cutting Humor | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silver Dust | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gun It | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Captivating Moon | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hofburg | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Pirate’s Punch | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sleepy Eyes Todd | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Winning Number | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mocito Rojo | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roiland | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Blended Citizen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Fair Grounds S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Space Mountain | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Midnight Tea Time | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Spectacular Gem | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Honovi | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Factor This | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Classic Covey | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Synchrony | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tone Broke | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Botswana | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dontblamerocket | 4.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wound Tight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Captivating Moon | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sailing Solo | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | The Great Day (ARG) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Rachel Alexandra S. Presented By Fasig-tipton
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ursula | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | His Glory | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swiss Skydiver | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tempers Rising | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | British Idiom | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Finite | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Impeccable Style | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Risen Star S. Presented By Lamarque Ford
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ready to Roll | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Farmington Road | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Revenge | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Monomoy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Scabbard | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blackberry Wine | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Over Miami | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Digital | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enforceable | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shashashakemeup | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silver State | 4.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Risen Star S. Presented By Lamarque Ford
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Ny Traffic | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Modernist | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Excession | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Big News | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Finnick the Fierce | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Major Fed | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Anneau d’Or | 1.80 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mailman Money | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liam’s Lucky Charm | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lynn’s Map | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fame to Famous | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Truculent | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.