Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 14, 2020

February 14, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zippninthecity 4.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Via Alpina 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Violent Speed 3.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Muchomoneybaby 50.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Golden Melodie 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Sassy and Hot 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 It’s a Riddle 1.80 5.4 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Derby Factor 30.00 3 6-1
6 6 Concord Jet 1.80 3.1 6-1
3 3 Rineshaft 3.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Red Valor 4.00 3.4 6-1
1 1 Temple Knights 2.50 3.5 7-1
5 5 Polity 4.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Casillalater 6.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Your Royal Coil 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mrs. Kimberly K 3.00 2.9 6-1
4 4 Writing in the Sky 20.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Lady Ember 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Love Not War 1.20 3.6 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Baby Boo 20.00 4 8-1
6 5 Teachers Big Dream 8.00 4.2 8-1
5 4 Almost a Factor 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Warrior’s Moon 3.00 5.2 10-1
8 6 Sassyserb 3.50 5.4 10-1
2 2 Navy Queen 12.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 She’s Devoted 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 California Kook 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Time for Ebby 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 6 Miss Megan 1.60 3.3 6-1
1 1 Lucky Ms Jones 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Silk From Heaven 12.00 3.5 7-1
6 5 Stormin Ranger 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Time for Suzzie 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Lippy 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hootie 1.80 4 8-1
6 6 Spectator’s Dream 50.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Holy Ghost 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Blame It On Kitty 15.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Roaring Fork 6.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Erotic 5.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Soberano (FR) 20.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Mr. Magico 5.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 Lifeline 4.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Der Lu 1.40 1.9 4-1
5 5 Chickatini 12.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 Starr of Quality 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Kaydetre 5.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 First Star 1.20 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Dance Costume 2.50 3.3 6-1
4 4 Winds Aloft 15.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Hot Magistrate 6.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Oh Pretty Woman 3.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Too Hot for Curlin 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Starship Sky 50.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Y Not Sizzle 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Durga 20.00 5.5 10-1
5 5 Our Romance 5.00 5.8 11-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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