Sports from the Basement

Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 14, 2020

February 14, 2020 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Dangerfield 2.50 3.9 7-1
1 1 Candy My Boy 1.80 4.1 8-1
2 2 Plentiful 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Earnednevergiven 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Dapper Jack 12.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Chicory Blue 6.00 5 10-1
7 7 Rowdy the Warrior 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kinetic Swagger 2.50 3.4 7-1
5 5 Hidden Promise 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 Bracketologist 30.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Moonlight Beach 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Agitator 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Caribbean (AUS) 1.50 4.7 9-1
2 2 Globus 5.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Hot Iron 20.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 7 Spendaholic 3.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 His Giant 5.00 4 8-1
5 5 Attain Success 6.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Jimmy At Last 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Platinum Nights 2.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Firery Tale 8.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Michael T 4.50 5.2 10-1
7 7 Jazz It Up 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 7 Fabulous Girl 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Mia Promessa 15.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Enjay’s Brass 2.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Sassy Seta 6.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Cipherin’ Sue 15.00 5.9 11-1
8 6 Destiny’s Love 5.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Saucy At Midnight 10.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 War Ballad 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Fastanista 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 9 My Golden Diablo 5.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Explosive Shoes 8.00 5.3 10-1
11 10 Tempt Fate 1.80 5.4 10-1
12 11 Hamazing Song 12.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Private Lake 8.00 6 11-1
7 7 Kurts Raider 30.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Ten Buds 20.00 6.4 12-1
5 5 Macho Rocco 12.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Dinner At Crumpies 20.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Heritage Park 4.00 7.6 14-1
9 8 Hesluck 15.00 8.9 17-1
8 8 Broken Together 30.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Rock City Rocket 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8A 7 Super Terrific 2.00 3.9 7-1
9 8 Blowinthebluesaway 10.00 4 8-1
3 3 Goose Drank Wine 4.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Admiral Brown 3.50 4.8 9-1
5 4 Belmont Hills 6.00 4.8 9-1
10A 9 Ride to the Wire 2.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Marshall Hill 15.00 5.5 10-1
7 6 Lieutenant Powell 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 5 Scooter’s Boy 8.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Candy’s Little Tip 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Kowboy Karma 4.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 No Funny Biz 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Eurobond 2.50 3.8 7-1
3 3 You’re Killin Me 15.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Junior Gilliam 4.00 4.3 8-1
6A 6 Big Bella Brown 3.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 St. Louie Guy 20.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 R Fast Life 15.00 5.6 11-1
9A 9 Spokane Eagle 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Lullaby Bling 15.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 Augie 3.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Firecrow 4.50 4.4 8-1
2 2 Charlie’s Schiller 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Sabrena’s Bling 10.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Nice Work 2.50 5.5 10-1
1 1 Impressed 3.50 5.6 11-1
4 4 Dunph 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Tut’s Revenge 10.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Rock City Roadhog 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Burtnjoe 6.00 3.8 7-1
6 5 Weast Hill 4.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Marvelous Thunder 6.00 5.1 10-1
9 7 Meanbone 8.00 5.8 11-1
10 8 Five O One 6.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Bud Ro 12.00 6.4 12-1
8A 6 Joan’s Delight 3.00 8.4 16-1
7A 6 Promising Shoes 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Japedo 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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