February 14, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Wear My Ring | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | I’m Fine | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
5 | 5 | Micromillion | 0.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
4 | 4 | Moneybackguarantee | 15.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Eye’m Gone | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | 5 | Runabout | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
7 | 6 | Candy Promises | 0.80 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
4 | 4 | Too Fast to Pass | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1A | 1 | Toohottoevenspeak | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | K D’s Cat Bird | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
8 | 7 | Curlin Road | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Lucky Ramsey | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
6A | 6 | Professor Snape | 15.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Kilmarknock | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Zipalong | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
6 | 6 | Superego | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
1 | 1 | Mr. Tag | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Stash My Money | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Unbridled John | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
3 | 3 | Justintimeforwine | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Black Kettle | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Gracetown | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
1 | 1 | Figure It Out | 0.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
5 | 5 | Private Beach | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Can U Handle This | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Sapucaia | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
5 | 5 | Quantum Computing | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Roma Carpe | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
2 | 2 | Kemba | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
7 | 7 | Barker Lane | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 6 | Musical Thunder | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
9 | 8 | Annoula | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
4 | 4 | All About Reyana | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
3 | 3 | Helmers Run | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | 2 | Zecha | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
4 | 4 | Malarkey | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 6 | World Riot | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
5 | 3 | Stay Fond | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
10 | 10 | Stars Wilburn | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
3 | 3 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Miss Loyalty | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
6 | 4 | Keep Your Distance | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
9 | 7 | Athwaaq | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
7 | 5 | Saratoga Style | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Lucky Move | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Cartwheel | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | The Great Johanna | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
8 | 8 | Mary’s Girl | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Elegant Jem | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Viradia | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
7 | 7 | Am Impazible | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
6 | 6 | Elegant Zip | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
9 | 9 | Makin’ Out | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 3 | Durkin’s Call | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
1 | 1 | Vicar’s Legend | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
6 | 5 | Daddy Knows | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
7 | 6 | Castle Casanova | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
2 | 1 | Kazmania | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Leaky Cup | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
3 | 2 | Kosciuszko | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
5 | 4 | Hushion | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 5 | Vitesse | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
3 | 2 | Bay Burner | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Little Mazzy | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
4 | 3 | Ihadadream | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
9 | 7 | Geils Rocks | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
7 | 6 | Fortune Found | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
5 | 4 | John Want Revenge | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Tipazo | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 8 | Uncle Ned | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.