Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 14, 2020

February 14, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wear My Ring 3.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 I’m Fine 1.60 2.4 5-1
5 5 Micromillion 0.80 2.9 5-1
4 4 Moneybackguarantee 15.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Eye’m Gone 30.00 3.3 6-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Runabout 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 6 Candy Promises 0.80 2.9 6-1
4 4 Too Fast to Pass 6.00 3.6 7-1
1A 1 Toohottoevenspeak 15.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 K D’s Cat Bird 15.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Curlin Road 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Lucky Ramsey 12.00 4.8 9-1
6A 6 Professor Snape 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Kilmarknock 2.50 2.3 4-1
2 2 Zipalong 1.60 2.3 4-1
6 6 Superego 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Mr. Tag 20.00 3 6-1
5 5 Stash My Money 8.00 4 7-1
4 4 Unbridled John 6.00 4 8-1
3 3 Justintimeforwine 4.00 4.1 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Black Kettle 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Gracetown 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Figure It Out 0.80 3.3 6-1
5 5 Private Beach 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Can U Handle This 20.00 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sapucaia 4.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Quantum Computing 1.80 3 6-1
8 7 Roma Carpe 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Kemba 3.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Barker Lane 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Musical Thunder 30.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Annoula 12.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 All About Reyana 4.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Helmers Run 20.00 5.6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Zecha 4.50 2.4 5-1
4 4 Malarkey 4.00 SCRATCH
8 6 World Riot 12.00 4.2 8-1
5 3 Stay Fond 2.50 4.4 8-1
10 10 Stars Wilburn 30.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cotton Candy Cutie 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Miss Loyalty 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 4 Keep Your Distance 3.00 5.1 10-1
9 7 Athwaaq 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 5 Saratoga Style 20.00 6.4 12-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lucky Move 2.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Cartwheel 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 The Great Johanna 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 8 Mary’s Girl 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Elegant Jem 15.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Viradia 4.50 4.2 8-1
7 7 Am Impazible 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Elegant Zip 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 Makin’ Out 20.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Durkin’s Call 4.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Vicar’s Legend 15.00 SCRATCH
6 5 Daddy Knows 4.00 3.1 6-1
7 6 Castle Casanova 4.50 3.1 6-1
2 1 Kazmania 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Leaky Cup 2.50 3.7 7-1
3 2 Kosciuszko 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Hushion 10.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 5 Vitesse 4.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Bay Burner 10.00 2.9 6-1
1 1 Little Mazzy 2.50 3 6-1
4 3 Ihadadream 12.00 3.5 7-1
9 7 Geils Rocks 20.00 4.1 8-1
7 6 Fortune Found 10.00 4.5 8-1
5 4 John Want Revenge 30.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Tipazo 3.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Uncle Ned 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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