Sports from the Basement

Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 13, 2020

February 13, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Commissioner Biggs 3.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Self Awareness 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Golazo 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Royal Thunder 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Gallinipper 15.00 3.4 7-1
3 3 Abuelo Paps 4.50 3.6 7-1
9 9 Jimmy Legs 30.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Seville Row 15.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Deshackled 4.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Shotmaster 20.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Dedicated 3.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Twin Valor 1.80 3.7 7-1
7 7 Greek God 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Free to Trump 15.00 4 8-1
4 4 Prime Time Man 4.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Venomous State 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Swamp Water 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Goodluckchuck 5.00 4 8-1
2 2 Devotion in Motion 12.00 4 8-1
1 1 Liar 15.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 True Shipman 30.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Carthage 6.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Chuck’s Dream 2.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Let Me Ask Bob 4.50 5.6 11-1
10 10 Little Bay 8.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Straitouta Congtin 10.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Paul the Waiter 3.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Top Me Off 8.00 3.2 6-1
8 8 Itgot Grandma 12.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 My Man Pots N Pans 6.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Marden 4.00 4 7-1
3 3 Sassy King 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Closer Look 10.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Flip 4.50 5 10-1
9 9 Ready and Rich 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Vow to Dance 30.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Artful Splatter 1.60 3 6-1
5 5 Bird Traffic 2.50 3.4 6-1
7 7 Team Win 4.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 My Queen Michelle 4.00 3.7 7-1
2 2 Saltworks 12.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Lilo’s Call 15.00 4.8 9-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Towson 2.00 3.6 7-1
10 10 French Nouget 30.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Beatubyachubinose 15.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Nothin But a Smile 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Canoochee 12.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Miss Aliphant 1.60 5.4 10-1
2 2 Sommer Something 30.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Gallanor 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Brushing 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Frisky Whiskey 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Bad Angle Burke 30.00 4 7-1
9 9 Allthewrongreasons 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Sing a Verse 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Lunar Image 12.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Paid Holiday 15.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Mr. Chesapeakecity 20.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Always Forgiven 3.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Indian Ghost 6.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Cool Man Cletus 5.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Captain Trips 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Redeemed Spirit 4.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Gottaflathaveher 3.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Silver Sides 4.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Blue Sky Venezuela 2.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 One Odd Story 15.00 5 9-1
2 2 Spanxamillion 4.50 SCRATCH
5 5 Oya 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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