February 13, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Commissioner Biggs | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Self Awareness | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golazo | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Thunder | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gallinipper | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Abuelo Paps | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmy Legs | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Seville Row | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deshackled | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Shotmaster | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dedicated | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twin Valor | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greek God | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Free to Trump | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prime Time Man | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Venomous State | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Swamp Water | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goodluckchuck | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devotion in Motion | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Liar | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | True Shipman | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carthage | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chuck’s Dream | 2.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let Me Ask Bob | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Little Bay | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Straitouta Congtin | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Paul the Waiter | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Top Me Off | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Itgot Grandma | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Man Pots N Pans | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marden | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy King | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Closer Look | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flip | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ready and Rich | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Vow to Dance | 30.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Artful Splatter | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bird Traffic | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Team Win | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Queen Michelle | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saltworks | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lilo’s Call | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Towson | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | French Nouget | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beatubyachubinose | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nothin But a Smile | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Canoochee | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss Aliphant | 1.60 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sommer Something | 30.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gallanor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Brushing | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Frisky Whiskey | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bad Angle Burke | 30.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Allthewrongreasons | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sing a Verse | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lunar Image | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Paid Holiday | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Chesapeakecity | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Always Forgiven | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indian Ghost | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cool Man Cletus | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Captain Trips | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Redeemed Spirit | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gottaflathaveher | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Sides | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Sky Venezuela | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | One Odd Story | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spanxamillion | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Oya | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.