Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 13, 2020

February 13, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hailey’s Day 4.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Orb’s Soul 3.00 2.4 4-1
2 2 Miss Jamie 10.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Rozafa 8.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Alley Music 1.80 3.6 7-1
6 6 Queen of Carnival 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Go for Moonshine 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 King of Candy 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Jailhouse Kitten 3.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Surge Pricing 2.00 4 8-1
6 6 Good Intent 20.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Multiple 15.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Trivista 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Boss of Bourbon St 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Letithappencarlos 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Brother Richie 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Two Steppin’ Star 4.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Release the Beast 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 C’Mon Ve 4.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Luck of the Draw 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Bet Again 3.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Im a Cowboy Too 2.00 3 6-1
2 2 Cajun Pinata 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Cabo’s Rumor 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Papa’s Boy 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Changi 4.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Payday Too 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 My Book 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Impressive Student 15.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Power Jet 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 My Dad Louie 6.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Oneholylion 10.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Chase for the Gold 20.00 4 7-1
7 7 Booth Road Shine 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Zenucci 1.80 4.2 8-1
6 6 Where Y’at Joe Joe 2.50 4.3 8-1
2 2 Scarlettsblackjack 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 John’s Luck 12.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Darling Vera 10.00 3.3 6-1
7 8 Appealing Audrey 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 9 French Empire 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 2 Silver Shaker 5.00 4 8-1
1 5 Puca Penny 3.00 4.5 9-1
2 1 Confessing 3.50 4.9 9-1
4 3 Magical Peapod 6.00 5.4 10-1
1A 7 Summer in Saratoga 3.00 5.6 11-1
5 4 Limage 12.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 5 Southern Liaison 3.00 1.7 3-1
8 6 Mi Lia 12.00 3.7 7-1
1A 7 Able Catch 4.00 3.7 7-1
4 2 Pops Shanghai 10.00 4 8-1
9 8 Younmehoneybunny 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 4 Decadent Diamond 4.00 4.8 9-1
6 3 Star Prado 5.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 G’s Mine 8.00 7.8 15-1
3 2 Cyber City 12.00 SCRATCH
5 4 Foursweetnieces 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Enduringly 4.00 3.1 6-1
10 8 Lady Kaza 8.00 3.3 6-1
3 2 Alba’s Star 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 3 Duplicitous 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Queenofcatniphill 10.00 5.5 10-1
9 7 Galileos Ballerina 12.00 6.2 12-1
2 1 Wexx 8.00 6.6 13-1
7 6 Miss Commish 20.00 6.9 13-1
1A 12 Halama 15.00 SCRATCH
6 6 She Can’t Sing 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Outburst (GB) 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Charming Lady 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Langfuhr’s Angel 1.20 3.3 6-1
3 3 Susie’s Songster 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Our Sweet Daisy 20.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 The Last Gig 20.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Beautifulandwild 6.00 4.4 8-1
6 6 I Am the Fire 8.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Red River Chase 3.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 Little Girls Rule 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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