Sports from the Basement

Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, February 12, 2020

February 12, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Chromed Heart 5.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Ch Bern 20.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Charming Bullet 3.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Majestic Society 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Runciman 5.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 Heavy Traffic 15.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Savannah Dandy 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Sir Eske 6.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Expect Ice 2.50 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 7 Union Salute 4.50 2.7 5-1
3 2 Kansas City Zip 3.50 2.9 5-1
1 2 Oashaar 4.50 SCRATCH
9 6 Treasure Trove 2.50 3.1 6-1
8 5 Jack Be Quick 20.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Luke’s Cajun Star 10.00 SCRATCH
6 4 Queeten 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 1 Berko 10.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Flying Honeypot 3.00 SCRATCH
4 3 Adios Yankee 20.00 6.7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Laurel’s Cricket 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Classy Birdette 15.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Storied Trip 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 American Rebel 4.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Bear Tooth Pass 12.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Undeniably Devine 3.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Margie’s Rouxbee 12.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Louisiana Special 3.50 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Hard Story 6.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Overlyappealing 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Hold Me Kat 4.50 5 9-1
6 6 Purim King 3.00 5.1 10-1
1 1 Happy Journey 20.00 5.6 11-1
8 8 U Complete Me 5.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Izzy B Winn 15.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Private Reality 15.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Jr’s Sauvage 10.00 5.9 11-1
12 12 Dyna Ghost 3.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Clear the Nile 3.50 7.4 14-1
4 4 Bluewater Cat 12.00 8.2 16-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Chief Knockaway 15.00 3.9 7-1
5 4 Shooters Alley 10.00 4 8-1
4 3 Top of the Page 2.00 4.6 9-1
3 2 Rose Needs a Check 12.00 4.7 9-1
1A 12 Warned 3.50 4.8 9-1
1 1 Ship Stalker 3.50 5.2 10-1
2 7 Grand Hoga 5.00 5.6 11-1
2B 11 Candy for Three 5.00 6.3 12-1
6 5 Stihl Harbor 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Who Datawaki 10.00 7.7 15-1
7 6 Set Hut 15.00 8.1 15-1
9 9 Hook 12.00 8.7 16-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Whiskyforbreakfast 2.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Victory Stripe 2.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 My Little Adrian 10.00 3 6-1
6 6 It’smyluckymoment 4.50 3.3 6-1
2 2 Fly Guy Rak 15.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Unbridled Pulpit 12.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Warriors Wolf 3.00 4.2 8-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Absolut Neworleans 5.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Union Rebel 2.50 3.4 6-1
10 10 Cajun Dude 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Broke in a Flash 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Landonese 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Prayer Boy 20.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Hawks Peak 4.50 4.7 9-1
7 7 Truly the One 30.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Jobim 3.50 5.3 10-1
11 11 My Little Rockstar 20.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Cowboy City 10.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Any Ole Thing 6.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Duepeg 6.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Miss Neko 8.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Belle Force 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Run Rhea Run 3.50 4 7-1
3 3 Granfathersleugirl 4.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Podcast 15.00 5 10-1
1 1 Tricky Creed 10.00 5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Secret Princess 5.00 1.7 3-1
3 3 Alys Episode 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Customs Bella Ella 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Camille’s Court 5.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Takilla Shotz 20.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 American Mom 4.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Dancepark 3.50 4.9 9-1
6 6 Ms Louisa 8.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Hanging Lake 12.00 6.2 12-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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