February 12, 2020 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Chromed Heart | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ch Bern | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Charming Bullet | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Society | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runciman | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heavy Traffic | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Savannah Dandy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Eske | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Expect Ice | 2.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 7 | Union Salute | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kansas City Zip | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Oashaar | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Treasure Trove | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Jack Be Quick | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Queeten | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Berko | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flying Honeypot | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Adios Yankee | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Laurel’s Cricket | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Classy Birdette | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Storied Trip | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | American Rebel | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bear Tooth Pass | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Undeniably Devine | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Margie’s Rouxbee | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Special | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hard Story | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Overlyappealing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Hold Me Kat | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Purim King | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Happy Journey | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | U Complete Me | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Izzy B Winn | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Private Reality | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jr’s Sauvage | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dyna Ghost | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Clear the Nile | 3.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bluewater Cat | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Chief Knockaway | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Shooters Alley | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Top of the Page | 2.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rose Needs a Check | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Warned | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ship Stalker | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 7 | Grand Hoga | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2B | 11 | Candy for Three | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stihl Harbor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Who Datawaki | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Set Hut | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hook | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Whiskyforbreakfast | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Victory Stripe | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Little Adrian | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’smyluckymoment | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fly Guy Rak | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unbridled Pulpit | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Warriors Wolf | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Absolut Neworleans | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Union Rebel | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cajun Dude | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Broke in a Flash | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Landonese | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prayer Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hawks Peak | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Truly the One | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jobim | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | My Little Rockstar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cowboy City | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Any Ole Thing | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Duepeg | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Neko | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Belle Force | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run Rhea Run | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Granfathersleugirl | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Podcast | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tricky Creed | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Secret Princess | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alys Episode | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Customs Bella Ella | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Camille’s Court | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Takilla Shotz | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Mom | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dancepark | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Louisa | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hanging Lake | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.