February 8, 2020 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Music Music | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | No Good Deed | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Queen Abarrio | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Out Cool | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Flyer | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hold the Spending | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | C Est Fast | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Mac | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let’s Go Luna | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Boss Wife | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Markistan | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Union Lane | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Zangarva | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Nenita | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Tweety Kitten | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Too Much War | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Comic Kitten | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Barbadolla | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Stated | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Recess | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Margie Music | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Regal Romance | 8.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Henny’s Treasure | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Katieleigh | 30.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pioneerof New York | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Paynter Fest | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tell Me Maux | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Quiet All Around | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Samoa | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Papa’s Little Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Up in Smoke | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daily Grace | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quiet Drama | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kashan | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fortunate Cat | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nice Adventure | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shazzy B | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Patricia H | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Granny Bradley | 30.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Adrianna | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Eatthe Apple | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Ding Dong Ditch | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Good Solution | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Guess First | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blockbuster | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Solar | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | War Feather | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Stand Corrected | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malibu Music | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | King of Leinster (IRE) | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Saltking | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Positive Phil | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Youshouldbesolucky | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Shahkaar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Magical Mike | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Golden Tapit | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Made My Day (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Power (BRZ) | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tolerant | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heirloom Kitten | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rochambeau | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Betterment | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gray’s Fable | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | North Dakota | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Beau Luminarie | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Freedom’s Flight | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Guacamole | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celia’s Song | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heiressall | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | No Need to Appeal | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blamed | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Meshak | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Unrighteous | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guaco | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spa City | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Will Sing for Wine | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mandate | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Telephone Talker | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Wisdom | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Here Comes Bullet | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All Eyes West | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Holy Muchacho | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Charge Card | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Desert General | 2.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Passionate Hachi | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dr Harlan | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cabre | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Karma King | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pachanga Party | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Li’l Meatball | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gemologister | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | One Fine Ride | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 8 | Twenty Four Seven | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Manhattan Project | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lapochka | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Summer Mischief | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tipsy Kitten | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Areyoutalkingtome | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Philo | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | River of Dreams | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Flyoff | 3.50 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cash Call Kitten | 6.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Champagne | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Allegiance | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Duc de Calas (FR) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Just the Facts | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mister Maestro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Candy Crushem | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Ricki Ticki Taffi | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conquer | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Genghis | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Northbrook | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Deckology | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | With Verve | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cross Court | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Suwannee River S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Magic Star | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tapit Today | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Starship Jubilee | 1.40 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Shot | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Great Sister Diane | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kelsey’s Cross | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vow to Recover | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Morning Tice | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Joe Benjamin | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sacco and Vanzetti | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bellas Fella | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eight Ain’t Enough | 1.40 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mystery Guest | 4.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Full Moon Rising | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Keep Marching | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Skyline View | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dramatic Kitten | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Friendly Fella | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wolfpub | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Maturin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Dardanellos | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Vinestone | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Titere | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.