February 8, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Lookin Back At It | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dragon Dragon | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Latina Cantina | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Dabblin Channel | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Kenai Cool | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kelly’s a Gem | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lemon Drop Twist | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Pepper Pike | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mishko | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | River Finn | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cruel Summer | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Kunal | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tecumseh’s War | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Natural Power (IRE) | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Automate | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mister Mister | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Temple of Heaven | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papajudgy | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Little Wise Guy | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tornado Boy | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Statement | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ronnie’s Reasoning | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Battle of Ramadi | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Drax | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Wicked Worry | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunrise Kitten | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | End Zone | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cleanup Time | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Groom Lake | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | Trueno | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Mom Said Yes | 6.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Atlas Moon | 6.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Calculate | 10.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Super Mamba | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Archrival | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Traelee | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Robinson | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Bayandbunny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Carondelet | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Madeforlife | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Esperanza Diamond | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rebeccas Truth | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Callmeonmycellfone | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Onetwomanyrockets | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Shantel Lanerie Memorial Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | American Legend | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dominga | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lady Jenneviere | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trickle In | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Alms | 1.20 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Pass the Plate | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maga Suite | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Predator | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Beau Oxy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calibrator | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Banks Island | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Long Weekend | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saintsation | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | I Love to Race | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Listen Up | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Lookin Sharp | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Ameerah B | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Freedom Passage | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Gold Star Mama | 3.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miahsolomiah | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Hermajestycommands | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hands Up | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Misty Day | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Stormy Merlot | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rahfees Man | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 8 | No One Greater | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 2 | From Now On | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hansen’s Holiday | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Iron Grip | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | I B Revolutionery | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 10 | Shaniko’s Secret | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Dutchman | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Hideaway Hero | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 11 | Cajun Creed | 2.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Boston Bob | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.