Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, February 8, 2020

February 8, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 4 Lookin Back At It 8.00 2.7 5-1
7 5 Dragon Dragon 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 1 Latina Cantina 3.50 3.7 7-1
5 3 Dabblin Channel 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 2 Kenai Cool 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Kelly’s a Gem 2.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Lemon Drop Twist 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Pepper Pike 6.00 2.4 5-1
1 1 Mishko 12.00 2.9 5-1
4 3 River Finn 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 Cruel Summer 5.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Kunal 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 6 Tecumseh’s War 5.00 4.6 9-1
5 4 Natural Power (IRE) 2.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Automate 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mister Mister 6.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Temple of Heaven 4.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Papajudgy 4.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Little Wise Guy 6.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Tornado Boy 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Wicked Statement 3.50 4 8-1
7 7 Ronnie’s Reasoning 15.00 4.3 8-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Battle of Ramadi 12.00 4.2 8-1
10 9 Drax 10.00 4.6 9-1
9 8 Wicked Worry 12.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Sunrise Kitten 3.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 End Zone 8.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Cleanup Time 4.00 7.5 14-1
7 7 Groom Lake 20.00 8.7 16-1
15 11 Trueno 20.00 10.1 19-1
11 10 Mom Said Yes 6.00 10.3 20-1
3 3 Atlas Moon 6.00 10.6 20-1
5 5 Calculate 10.00 11.3 21-1
8 8 Super Mamba 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Archrival 10.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Traelee 20.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Robinson 6.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Bayandbunny 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Carondelet 8.00 3.4 6-1
5 4 Freda’s Smooth Air 2.50 3.8 7-1
7 6 Madeforlife 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 5 Esperanza Diamond 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Rebeccas Truth 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Callmeonmycellfone 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Onetwomanyrockets 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Shantel Lanerie Memorial Overnight S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 American Legend 12.00 2.6 5-1
6 5 Dominga 4.00 2.7 5-1
3 2 Lady Jenneviere 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 6 Trickle In 3.50 3.2 6-1
5 4 Alms 1.20 4 7-1
4 3 Pass the Plate 5.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Maga Suite 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Predator 1.80 2.3 4-1
2 2 Beau Oxy 10.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Calibrator 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Banks Island 1.40 SCRATCH
5 3 Long Weekend 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Saintsation 10.00 3 6-1
5 3 I Love to Race 8.00 4.2 8-1
12 7 Listen Up 12.00 4.4 8-1
8 5 Lookin Sharp 6.00 5.1 10-1
7 4 Ameerah B 4.50 5.9 11-1
3 2 Freedom Passage 10.00 6.5 12-1
9 6 Gold Star Mama 3.50 6.9 13-1
2 2 Miahsolomiah 4.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Hermajestycommands 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Hands Up 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Misty Day 8.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Stormy Merlot 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Rahfees Man 20.00 4 8-1
7 8 No One Greater 6.00 4.3 8-1
1 2 From Now On 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Hansen’s Holiday 8.00 4.5 8-1
1A 5 Iron Grip 12.00 4.7 9-1
8 9 I B Revolutionery 6.00 5.2 10-1
9 10 Shaniko’s Secret 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 1 Dutchman 4.00 6 11-1
6 7 Hideaway Hero 4.50 6.1 12-1
10 11 Cajun Creed 2.50 6.3 12-1
5 6 Boston Bob 30.00 6.8 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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