February 7, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | World O Luck | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Equipo A | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Squalotoro | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blue Blitz | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Austin’s Boy | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King Arthur | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Affection | 3.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zero Down | 2.50 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sierra Melody | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mr. Clutch | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Hammering Lemon | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Friendly Steve | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Indy Jones | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Canadian Game | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Norski | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brazilian Summer | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smiling to Excess | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Florentine Diamond | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Slewbury Park | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Shirlee | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | For My Brother | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Win Often | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Homehome | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Desert Smoke | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiki Bar Logic | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Discrete Stevie B | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Conformation | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Tea All Shade | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Semi Sweet | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Baffle S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rager | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Air Force Jet (GB) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Billy Batts | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bulletproof One | 2.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rookie Mistake | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Big Returns | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Phast Pharoah | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lambeau | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mongolian Hero | 4.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kylemore | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Seven Scents | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Uno Dancer | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Insider | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Synthesis | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Turkish Angel | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wine At Sunset | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Olive You More | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cosmic Cowgirl | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Give Up | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Going to Vegas | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Speed | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lucia’s Design | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flamigo Bay (IRE) | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.