Sports from the Basement

Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 7, 2020

February 7, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 World O Luck 10.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Equipo A 10.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Squalotoro 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Blue Blitz 4.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Austin’s Boy 3.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 King Arthur 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Perfect Affection 3.50 6.2 12-1
5 5 Zero Down 2.50 6.6 12-1
9 9 Sierra Melody 8.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Mr. Clutch 5.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Hammering Lemon 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Friendly Steve 3.00 2.3 4-1
4 3 Indy Jones 4.00 3.4 7-1
3 2 Canadian Game 1.60 3.5 7-1
5 4 Norski 4.50 3.6 7-1
2 2 Brazilian Summer 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Smiling to Excess 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Florentine Diamond 4.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 Slewbury Park 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Smiling Shirlee 2.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 For My Brother 30.00 4 8-1
4 4 Win Often 2.50 4.6 9-1
2 2 Homehome 4.00 5.1 10-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Desert Smoke 1.80 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tiki Bar Logic 2.50 2.7 5-1
6 6 Discrete Stevie B 5.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Conformation 3.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 All Tea All Shade 12.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Semi Sweet 5.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Baffle S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Rager 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 6 Air Force Jet (GB) 6.00 3.5 7-1
4 4 Billy Batts 1.60 4.1 8-1
3 3 Bulletproof One 2.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Rookie Mistake 4.00 5.5 10-1
6 5 Big Returns 12.00 6.1 12-1
5 5 Phast Pharoah 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Lambeau 2.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Mongolian Hero 4.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Kylemore 6.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Seven Scents 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Uno Dancer 8.00 4.2 8-1
1 1 Royal Insider 4.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Synthesis 12.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Turkish Angel 15.00 3.7 7-1
3 3 Wine At Sunset 10.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Olive You More 8.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Cosmic Cowgirl 3.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 I Give Up 5.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Going to Vegas 2.50 5.3 10-1
1 1 Violent Speed 15.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Lucia’s Design 4.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Flamigo Bay (IRE) 12.00 7.1 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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