Sports from the Basement

Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Friday, February 7, 2020

February 7, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dangerous Edge 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Kilmarknock 8.00 2.1 4-1
5 5 More Graytful 1.40 2.6 5-1
7A 7 Theitalianamerican 8.00 3.6 7-1
6A 6 Justintimeforwine 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Scuttlebuzz 2.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Daithi 12.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Stash My Money 20.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Gipsey Sorceress 12.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Be Magic 6.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Lake Chicot 8.00 2.8 5-1
3 3 Cruising Strong 2.50 3.5 7-1
1 1 La Negrita 8.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Rude Awaking 1.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Speed Talks 20.00 4.4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Combat Ribbon 1.40 1.5 3-1
2 2 Grito de Pablito 6.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Judiths Cougar 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Tipazo 1.20 3.9 7-1
1 1 Lucky E 12.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 John Want Revenge 20.00 3.9 7-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Zecha 1.80 2.4 4-1
2 2 Mazmania 12.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Cotton Candy Cutie 6.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Judgement Free 15.00 4 8-1
6 6 Stay Fond 1.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Saratoga Style 10.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Movie Score 20.00 4.9 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Soul Fight 1.40 2.2 4-1
6 6 Dr. Devera’s Way 4.00 3 6-1
1 1 Bad Guy 2.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Chuckles 8.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Quintarelli 20.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Awesome Adversary 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Kadens Courage 10.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bankruptonthebeach 3.50 1.9 4-1
3 3 Leaveuwithasmile 4.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 Autonomous 2.00 2.9 6-1
6 6 Bella Invasion 30.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Wicked Amber 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Fierce Lady 1.40 3.7 7-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Cartwheel 4.50 2.8 5-1
8 8 Lucky Move 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Elegant Jem 10.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 The Great Johanna 3.50 3.5 7-1
6 6 Mary’s Girl 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Am Impazible 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Elegant Zip 12.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Makin’ Out 15.00 5.3 10-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hawaiian Noises 2.50 2.6 5-1
3 3 Win With Pride 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Swiping Dan 30.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Blessed Halo 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Aristocratic 6.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Preamble 5.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 No Distortion 10.00 4 7-1
8 8 Life in Shambles 3.00 4.5 8-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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