February 7, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dangerous Edge | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kilmarknock | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Graytful | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7A | 7 | Theitalianamerican | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Justintimeforwine | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scuttlebuzz | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Daithi | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stash My Money | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gipsey Sorceress | 12.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Be Magic | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lake Chicot | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cruising Strong | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Negrita | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rude Awaking | 1.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speed Talks | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Combat Ribbon | 1.40 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grito de Pablito | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Judiths Cougar | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tipazo | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky E | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | John Want Revenge | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Zecha | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mazmania | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cotton Candy Cutie | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Judgement Free | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stay Fond | 1.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Saratoga Style | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Movie Score | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Soul Fight | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dr. Devera’s Way | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Guy | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chuckles | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Quintarelli | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Awesome Adversary | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kadens Courage | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bankruptonthebeach | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leaveuwithasmile | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Autonomous | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Invasion | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wicked Amber | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fierce Lady | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cartwheel | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Move | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elegant Jem | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Great Johanna | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mary’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Am Impazible | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elegant Zip | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Makin’ Out | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hawaiian Noises | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Win With Pride | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Swiping Dan | 30.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blessed Halo | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aristocratic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Preamble | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No Distortion | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Life in Shambles | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.