Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 6, 2020
February 6, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Grand Omega | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disapproval | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lord Colliery | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taft’s Lil Boy | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sir Advent | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chimneyville | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jalen Hurts | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rosslare Harbour | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tom Management | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Maspero | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s a Climber | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Morethanfishin | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Hitter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Tom’s Last General | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | In Full Swing | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Niece Jackie Davis | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Thief | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rock the Jukebox | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rake It Up | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heidi’s Wish | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lu Sea | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Net a Bear | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hyper Piper | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Is Too | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Fairwell Tax Break | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 2 | La Mistake | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Hustle | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Bermuda Star | 1.80 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 1.80 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Singita Dreams | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blunt Force | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Razeena | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | N. D. Free | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Romani | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashion Island | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Afleet Roger | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tez | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Merlin’s Song | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Copper Fiddle | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Dream Halo | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Nice of Me | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jackfruit | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hero of the Hour | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Singapore Flash | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Baozun | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Boogie Shues | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Trinity N Roux | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jack Beanstalk | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Move It | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Soar Like an Eagle | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Magi | 3.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Maintainance Matt | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doubletrouble Bear | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Confectionist | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Landofthepharaohs | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Dictator | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Handsome Honey | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Take That for Data | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Believeinholidays | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cade’s On the Bump | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Conquest Lemonraid | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Overnight Success | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kitten’s Boy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Jailhouse Kitten | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Premie Baby | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Madison’s Place | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Stang’s Galaxy | 10.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charsey | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Orange Twister | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Chanson La Belle | 1.80 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ezee Enough | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Divided | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
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