Sports from the Basement

Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, February 6, 2020

February 6, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Grand Omega 5.00 3 6-1
1 1 Disapproval 3.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Lord Colliery 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Taft’s Lil Boy 5.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Sir Advent 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Chimneyville 12.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Jalen Hurts 4.50 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Rosslare Harbour 6.00 2.4 4-1
5 4 Tom Management 3.00 3.3 6-1
6 5 Maspero 3.50 3.7 7-1
1 1 He’s a Climber 8.00 4 8-1
3 2 Morethanfishin 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 One Hitter 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tom’s Last General 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 In Full Swing 5.00 3 6-1
5 5 Niece Jackie Davis 12.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Desert Thief 3.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Rock the Jukebox 3.50 3.4 6-1
3 3 Rake It Up 2.50 3.4 6-1
4 4 Heidi’s Wish 12.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Lu Sea 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Net a Bear 3.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Hyper Piper 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Is Too 4.00 3.9 7-1
2 1 Fairwell Tax Break 12.00 4.3 8-1
3 2 La Mistake 3.50 4.4 8-1
6 6 Irish Hustle 6.00 4.4 8-1
1 3 Bermuda Star 1.80 4.4 8-1
1A 8 Mr. Al’s Gal 1.80 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Singita Dreams 3.50 1.8 3-1
2 2 Blunt Force 3.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Razeena 2.50 2.9 5-1
3 3 N. D. Free 3.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Romani 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Fashion Island 6.00 4 8-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Afleet Roger 8.00 3.4 6-1
8 6 Tez 3.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Merlin’s Song 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 5 Copper Fiddle 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 4 Dream Halo 20.00 4.7 9-1
9 7 Nice of Me 8.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Jackfruit 15.00 5 9-1
4 4 Hero of the Hour 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Singapore Flash 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Baozun 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Boogie Shues 12.00 3.2 6-1
8 6 Trinity N Roux 10.00 3.4 6-1
9 7 Jack Beanstalk 3.50 4.2 8-1
3 2 Move It 3.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Soar Like an Eagle 12.00 5.4 10-1
7 5 Magi 3.50 6.1 12-1
6 4 Maintainance Matt 8.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Doubletrouble Bear 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Confectionist 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Landofthepharaohs 6.00 3.1 6-1
1A 7 Dictator 4.00 3.8 7-1
5 4 Handsome Honey 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 6 Take That for Data 5.00 4.5 9-1
7 5 Believeinholidays 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 2 Cade’s On the Bump 12.00 4.5 9-1
4 3 Conquest Lemonraid 4.50 5.4 10-1
1 4 Overnight Success 4.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Kitten’s Boy 5.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Jailhouse Kitten 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Premie Baby 10.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Madison’s Place 8.00 2.8 5-1
2 1 Stang’s Galaxy 10.00 3.4 7-1
6 5 Charsey 8.00 3.8 7-1
7 6 Orange Twister 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 3 Chanson La Belle 1.80 4.5 8-1
5 4 Ezee Enough 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Divided 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes Рthose are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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