January 31, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Stunning Beauty | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flying Pleasantly | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Secret | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shannon’s Girl | 0.60 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hickory Made | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Funderella | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Breeze | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Women Not Easy | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | All About Reyana | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Kashmir Queen | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racing My Father | 30.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Maru | 0.60 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tourbillon Rose | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Grape Therapy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Cover Photo | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Malibu Mischief | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Malarkey | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Cobra Sophie | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stars Wilburn | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nowitna River | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Keep Your Distance | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beautiful Karen | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rosey’s Invasion | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Moves | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Saffron Girl | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My My Michelle | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Take Charge Donna | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bella Domenica | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bootlegger (FR) | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Where’s Rudy | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Week | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Champagne Papi | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Business Cycle | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Poshsky | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | So Sublime | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moneymeister | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Captain Frost | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bebe Banker | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playwright | 1.40 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shock Therapy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Access | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big Thicket | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | High Command | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Run for Boston | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tizgame | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Leitone (CHI) | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Musical America | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Small Bear | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brass Compass | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sir Winston | 1.60 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roaming Union | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bon Raison | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 7 | Splitting Eights | 30.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Mr. Mike | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Tio Blas | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Seediskid | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Sneads | 2.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Loaded Joe | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mine the Coin | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Informed Consent | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Wisecrack | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Justice of War | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.