January 20, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Where Y’at Joe Joe | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zenucci | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | C C Harris | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Snapper Bite | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whatelse Igot Todo | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | C’Mon Ve | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Case’s Ticket | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Papa’s Boy | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Magic Vow | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Grande Basin | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Treys Midnite Moon | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Im a Cowboy Too | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lucky Inferno | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Changi | 4.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Impressive Student | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | King Cake | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chase for the Gold | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Social Misfit | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Calimambo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Sucre | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Girls Life | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Double Down Britt | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 1.40 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | New Year’s Party | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Yalisha | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Callmeonmycellfone | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Turbo Street (AUS) | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Morning Stride | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Baratti | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Herecomesyourman | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear for Action | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Consumerconfidence | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Foldover | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mucho Macho Bets | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mustang Cat | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valycove | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skycraft | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | He’s Cheeky | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 13 | Zanesville | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | War Count | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boston Bind | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Brother Richie | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Bayou | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Double Cool | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Closing American | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Little Man | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 1 | Kingpin | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Kiang | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Lontano | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Autumn Jett | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Governale | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Tap Attack | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Maga Country | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Jack Beanstalk | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Broadcast Legend | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Schmoozin | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hoffa | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 15 | Brew Crew | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Hurricane Party | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jupestar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Centastic | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Wild Union | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cernan | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Supremo | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Big News | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | First Citizen | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bayern to Be Wild | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pyser’s Orb | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Slime Queen | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dreaming of Paris | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Titan’s Treasure | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alba’s Star | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vintage Ready | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flabbergasted | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Saturday Sun | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Darling Belle | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U S S Lexington | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Urbana | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cazadora | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Diamond and Silks | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cloud Ten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Spanx Legacy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Production | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Venn | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half a Bite | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Knockalittlelouder | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seeley | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Utes | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Neyney and Rad | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Pal Jac | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.