January 20, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Who’s in Charge | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
3 | 3 | Deputy Flag | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
2 | 2 | Kadens Courage | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
5 | 5 | Mandatory Payout | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
4 | 4 | Vineyard Sound | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
1 | 1 | Seed Money | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Eighty Seven North | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
4 | 4 | Our Ticket | 1.40 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Two Graces | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Happyandiknowit | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
5 | 5 | Lady Cat | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
3 | 3 | La Rubia | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Sweet Breeze | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Molly’s Shrink | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Bourbon Mission | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
3 | 3 | Control Group | 0.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
4A | 4 | You Tell Me | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
1 | 1 | Foolish Ghost | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
5 | 5 | San Juan Diego | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Gypsum Johnny | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
7A | 7 | Peter’s Project | 4.00 | SCRATCH |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | 6 | Ice Princess | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
2 | 2 | Sneaky Surprise | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
3 | 3 | Myawaya | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
7 | 7 | Shadolamo | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
1 | 1 | Holmdel Park | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
4 | 4 | Courageous Girl | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
5 | 5 | Ancient Brown | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | 3 | Desbordes | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
6 | 6 | Maru | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
1 | 1 | Hayezhee | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
9 | 9 | The Important One | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
11 | 10 | Just Stay Home | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
8 | 8 | Central Exit | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
5 | 5 | Big Red Girl | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
2 | 2 | Becky’s Mission | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
10 | 10 | Pasture Princess | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
7 | 7 | Irena N Ella | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
4 | 4 | Moneybackguarantee | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 7 | Life in Shambles | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
4 | 4 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
6 | 6 | Outplay | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
5 | 5 | Blueblood | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
2 | 2 | Deep Sea | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
3 | 3 | Dark N Cloudy | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
8 | 8 | Full Salute | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
1 | 1 | Liam Lets Go | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
9 | 8 | They Shot Sonny | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | Dynamax Prime | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
6 | 5 | Wicked Trick | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
2 | 2 | Heavy Roller | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
8 | 7 | Felix in Fabula | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
7 | 6 | Its All Relevant | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
3 | 3 | Playthatfunnymusic | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
5 | 5 | Swiping Dan | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
4 | 4 | American Lincoln | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Interborough S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | 6 | Abounding Joy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
2 | 2 | Saguaro Row | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
5 | 4 | New Year’s Wish | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
3 | 3 | Our Circle of Love | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
6 | 5 | Honor Way | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
4 | 4 | Piedi Bianchi | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
8 | 7 | Champagne Bliss | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
1 | 1 | Slimey | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | 10 | Tatterazzi | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
3 | 3 | Becca Takes Charge | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
9 | 9 | Deja Raconte | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
11 | 11 | Vitanza | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
6 | 6 | Rousey | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
8 | 8 | Take It All Back | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
1 | 1 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
2 | 2 | Miss Ross | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
7 | 7 | Margie Cat | 50.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
5 | 5 | Miss Jill | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
4 | 4 | Sassy Secret | 50.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.