Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks for Monday, January 20, 2020

January 20, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Who’s in Charge 1.20 1.5 3-1
3 3 Deputy Flag 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Kadens Courage 6.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Mandatory Payout 2.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Vineyard Sound 8.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 Seed Money 8.00 4.6 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Eighty Seven North 3.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Our Ticket 1.40 2.3 4-1
2 2 Two Graces 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 Happyandiknowit 15.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Lady Cat 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 La Rubia 15.00 5 9-1
6 6 Sweet Breeze 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Molly’s Shrink 15.00 5.7 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Bourbon Mission 8.00 3 6-1
3 3 Control Group 0.80 3 6-1
4A 4 You Tell Me 4.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Foolish Ghost 3.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 San Juan Diego 8.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Gypsum Johnny 20.00 3.6 7-1
7A 7 Peter’s Project 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ice Princess 1.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sneaky Surprise 8.00 2.4 4-1
3 3 Myawaya 3.50 3.1 6-1
7 7 Shadolamo 20.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Holmdel Park 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Courageous Girl 8.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Ancient Brown 4.00 5.2 10-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Desbordes 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Maru 3.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Hayezhee 4.50 4 8-1
9 9 The Important One 5.00 4.3 8-1
11 10 Just Stay Home 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Central Exit 8.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Big Red Girl 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Becky’s Mission 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Pasture Princess 30.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Irena N Ella 30.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Moneybackguarantee 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Life in Shambles 1.60 2.3 4-1
4 4 Wegotoldyougotsold 2.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Outplay 8.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Blueblood 10.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Deep Sea 8.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Dark N Cloudy 15.00 5.3 10-1
8 8 Full Salute 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Liam Lets Go 15.00 6.2 12-1
9 8 They Shot Sonny 30.00 7.1 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Dynamax Prime 3.00 2.5 5-1
6 5 Wicked Trick 2.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Heavy Roller 6.00 3.4 6-1
8 7 Felix in Fabula 4.50 4 7-1
7 6 Its All Relevant 5.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Playthatfunnymusic 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Swiping Dan 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 American Lincoln 30.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Interborough S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 6 Abounding Joy 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Saguaro Row 2.00 3.1 6-1
5 4 New Year’s Wish 3.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 Our Circle of Love 2.50 4.1 8-1
6 5 Honor Way 10.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Piedi Bianchi 10.00 SCRATCH
8 7 Champagne Bliss 30.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Slimey 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Tatterazzi 6.00 2.7 5-1
3 3 Becca Takes Charge 2.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Deja Raconte 3.50 4 8-1
11 11 Vitanza 5.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Rousey 5.00 5 10-1
8 8 Take It All Back 12.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Molly’s Nighthawk 15.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Miss Ross 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Margie Cat 50.00 7.4 14-1
5 5 Miss Jill 30.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Sassy Secret 50.00 9.4 18-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.