January 19, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Into Rissa | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rosey Sky | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spanish Channel | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bella Chica | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Suezaaana | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love Not War | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Civil Suit | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mrs. Kimberly K | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dannybob | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Our Romance | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Remember to Smile | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tromador | 0.80 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Salah | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gold N Grand | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ziyanair | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meadway | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Me Macho | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | West Way Dreams | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Top of the Game | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Best Two Minutes | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Brimstoned | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Boy Howdy | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Play Hard to Get | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Big Bad Gary | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Park | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Catoca | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Arctic Roll (GB) | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Girona | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wind Tartare (FR) | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point Hope (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Playa Chica | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dulverton Darling | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Querelle | 3.50 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Clockstrikestwelve | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mulhima (IRE) | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jen Go Unchained | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Concord Jet | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Temple Knights | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Friendly Steve | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Norski | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Passing | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Valor | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Ballad | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Astra S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Siberian Iris (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lostintranzlation | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tiny Tina | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blue Diva | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ms Peintour | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heathers Grey | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trust Fund Kitty | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Nadal | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lane Way | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Vasariano | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jeffnjohn’sthundr | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Exaulted | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Threearchbaymafia | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Smoke | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Joe | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tough It Out | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King Eddie | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rigoletto (SWI) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Start a Runnin | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cabin John | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Swamp Souffle | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Kylemore | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Creep | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Real Master (FR) | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | French Getaway | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Implicitly | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Buster Douglas (BRZ) | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.