January 19, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Make Us Smile | 1.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Determined Chance | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Total Access | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Doors Down | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Table Max | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eje Gama | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sincere Man | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ankle Monitor | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Naughty Thoughts | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Cadey | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Longleggedlaverne | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Angel Raphael | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Queen of Cause | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Successful Zip | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buddy’s Run | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time Flies By | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kosher Kontract | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mice and Men | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Masai Man | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hill Shadow | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9A | 9 | Military Hop | 2.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3A | 3 | Flat Out Beautiful | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Hammerin Aamer | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tappin Cat | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Act | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Harpers First Ride | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fort Peck | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Ann | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | My Queen Michelle | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mamma Dee | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bird Traffic | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hell of Afire | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Muskoka | 50.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Appealing Honor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Warm | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Its a Journey | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monaco Princess | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Setubal | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucy’s Town | 3.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cassidy Ave | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Vicki | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Towson | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Swirrlie Shirlie | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sierra Leona | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cash Register | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Resonate | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emma’sdiamonddiva | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Letmeslidebyyou | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sainte Therese | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Too Much Minutia | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vampish | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chicken Dinner | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alphabetting | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Priss | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Loose | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Damisela | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spanxamillion | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.