January 19, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gavins Little Sis | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stealing Sunshine | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Marquee Moment | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Angel’s Cut | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Swinging Bridge | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hero of Gold | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cant Hide My Crazy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Can’t Count That | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Pure Bingo | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senator Con | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J C’s in Town | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shae’s Day | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Intuition | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chambliss | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don Guillermo | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Love That Warrior | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alma Derby | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Grand Little Man | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Boston Repo | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phat and Fast | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adrenaline | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cabo’s Rumor | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jalen Hurts | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I B Revolutionery | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bold Zarb | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Farewell Time | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gemo Rain | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cairo King | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pepper Pike | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Baozun | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Olympic Romp | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nicely Nicely | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Uncle Andrew | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rosslare Harbour | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maspero | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oh My Aching Arch | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dynaform | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Curious Case | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roux Ga Roux | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guitar Tribute | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Britts a Closer | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coach O’Shea | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One More Jump | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lilrascalman | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tensas Gold | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Cobra Casablanca | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sister Nova | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Underestimate | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stellar Agent | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savvy Ally | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unfading Beauty | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Dawn | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonnet | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Insane Maclean | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Prayers | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Altered Dream | 30.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Kennedy | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | On Deck | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Georgia Clay | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Knight’s Cross | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Afleet Roger | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nice of Me | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Oro de Tejano | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dream Halo | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eskendereyas Dream | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackfruit | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fredonian | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Templet | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cleanup Time | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Suggested | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tactician | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unthrottled | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Free Spender | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunrise Kitten | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Calculate | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cask | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Decision Maker | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Total Destruction | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Wicked Worry | 12.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Groom Lake | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Badgeri Candy | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Champagnerie | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Revealing Quality | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nuttin But Runnin | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oxbowindy | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Simone | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Girls Rule | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I Am the Fire | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lons Giant | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.