January 19, 2020 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Try SFTB Plus for Free
$10 a Month Gets You Horse Racing Advanced Stats including an optimizer for each race.
Sign up now and get 7 days free of charge!
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Doll | 0.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Alphadora | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Banker | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pendolino | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Enough Love | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Funderella | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Belief Cure | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kemba | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kit Kat Katie | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | La Negrita | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Sweet Kat | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wicked Kheisha | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Annoula | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Happy | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Roma Carpe | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Musical Thunder | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 4 | Camorra | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Cool as You Like | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tequila Sunday | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Ma Meatloaf | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Tiz a Kitten | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Movie Score | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Evan’s Nice Now | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Whyisshesoolucky | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | We Are Family | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tan and Tight | 1.20 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rapido Gatta | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lovely Lucky | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Quasar | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jasminesque | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2A | 2 | Laquezza | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Direct Order | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Win With Pride | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Coltandmississippi | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | California Night | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mad Munnys | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hardcore Folklore | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Bitumen | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Thousand Percent | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Guns of Steel | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gracetown | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jennemily | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Trial and Error | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Team Win | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Figure It Out | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Private Beach | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cobra Sophie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Ladies H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Bellera | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Another Broad | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Our Super Nova | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Lucky Move | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Entropia (ARG) | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Annie Rocks | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Nonsensical | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Tapizearance | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dawn’s Early Light | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Unrelenting Force | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bellarmine Hall | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Fidget | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Political | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Valid Quest | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Glenn Likes Gin | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Liams Majesty | 50.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Tag | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tuxedo Sunday | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.