January 18, 2020 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | So Gracious | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Song of the Night | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zig | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hickory Made | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solea | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Molly’s Dolly | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lucy’s Journey | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Mary’s Song | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orbette | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mama’s Grey Ghost | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Factorintheheat | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Tap Dance | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Arima | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Naturally Quick | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – What A Summer S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Needs Supervision | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Combat | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hey Mamaluke | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel At War | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Last True Love | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Victim of Love | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Geisha S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Anna’s Bandit | 0.80 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Enchanted Ghost | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Limited View | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | No Mo Lady | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Artful Splatter | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bunting | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Le Weekend | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Jennings S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alwaysmining | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | John Jones | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clubman | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bonus Points | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pretty Good Year | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bustoff | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toughest ‘Ombre | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Tappin Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Jeezum Jim | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Fire Plug S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Arch Cat | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz He the One | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Chub | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dupree | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Threes Over Deuces | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Long May You Run | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor the Fleet | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Still Having Fun | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Secret Archangel | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Be Good | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Quiet Imagination | 3.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Devilish Affair | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Groove | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sweet Talking Girl | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Did I Stutter | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Queen of Tomorrow | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bottle Courage | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Racing My Father | 30.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Twirling Faith | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Benintendi | 1.20 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Absolved | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Over Sensual | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bobby G | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyond the Victory | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crouchelli | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can He Shine | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Crush It | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bucked Tooth | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Alphastest | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Allthewrongreasons | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Awesome Buzz | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr. Chesapeakecity | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Indian Ghost | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baltimore Blues | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Once More Eh | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meetmeatthewire | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.