January 18, 2020 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Casual Pleasure | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Underrated | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shesarockstartoo | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | G’s Mine | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Decadent Diamond | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Steph’sfullasugar | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madam Queen | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mi Lia | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commercial Flash | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Guilty Confession | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Adina | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Duncan F. Kenner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bobby’s Wicked One | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Do Share | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hog Creek Hustle | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Malpais | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Pete’s Play Call | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Fiona Power | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Teller to Sing | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fine One Won | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Kilbarry Lady | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Pleasant Mo | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Audrey’s Time | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Nikkis Kitten | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Thought | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Skye Snow | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | All in Harmony | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hendy Woods | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Take Charge Patti | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Karakontieparadise | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Creative Legacy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Titan’s Treasure | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cazadora | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Digital | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Race Driver | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chestertown | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Blackberry Wine | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Healing | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Strike Appeal | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kulik Bear | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Limnery | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Clear Vision | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uncapped | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Onarock | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sharp Prospect | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peace of Ekati | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ioya Again | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Emmys | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jailhouse Kitten | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Antarctic | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Attorney Tim | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Big Beautiful Wall | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | More Than A. P. | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Pont Du Gard | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Dr. Hipp | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Charming Lady | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Readyformycloseup | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Legal Limit | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | True Friend | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Luminaire | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Maddox | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Malibu Marlee | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Misty Day | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Mandate | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spanish Kingdom | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Auburn Hills | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Urbanite | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coach Bahe | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Curlington | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Skol Chant | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bigdaddy’sflyinghi | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lokoya Road | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Divulgence | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deanos Cape | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shake Some Action | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Koko Star | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Declared | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Cleanup Time | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Total Destruction | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Mr. Big News | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Lucky Curlin | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Earner | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Man of Honor | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Chrystal Sphere | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Echo Town | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Smart Call | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sky Ride | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Silver Seabee | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Steadytillready | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | La Signare (FR) | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quebec | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Area | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Divine Queen | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stave | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Makealitlemischief | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smart Emma | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Avie’s Mineshaft | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Tell Marge | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Notapradaprice | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Lounge Act | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Silver Dust | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Gun It | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Kukulkan (MEX) | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Blended Citizen | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Tone Broke | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Roiland | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Jack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Captivating Moon | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Colonel E. R. Bradley S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 8 | Mr. Misunderstood | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Captivating Moon | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Factor This | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Parlor | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Dontblamerocket | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Midnight Tea Time | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Space Mountain | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Sailing Solo | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tone Broke | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | My Boy Jack | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blended Citizen | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Silver Dust | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Temple | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Roiland | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Silverbulletday S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Finite | 1.20 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Portrait | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | His Glory | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ursula | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pass the Plate | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | She Can’t Sing | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tempers Rising | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maga Suite | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Stakes) – Lecomte S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Silver State | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Monomoy | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Scabbard | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Halo Again | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Bango | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Excession | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Shashashakemeup | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Enforceable | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Finnick the Fierce | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | New Eagle | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sycamore Run | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jack the Umpire | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Star | 30.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lynn’s Map | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.