January 5, 2020 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Commanding Chief | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Da Kine | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cardiff Cay | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Border Town | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Daddy Go | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cape Point | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lincoln City | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muralist | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grandpa Louie | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afternoon Heat | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A Man’s Man | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Street Demand | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brace for Impact | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoop Dream | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Foster Boi | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rinse and Repeat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hit the Seam | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | General Interest | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First in Show | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Desmond Doss | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bob’s Sniper | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Special | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Storie Blue | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cosmic Cowgirl | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classy Ruler | 0.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Del Mar Drama | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Crazy Speighty | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Last First Kiss | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Moana Luna | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Darkhawk | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fortnite Dance | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | The Easy Way | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cross Town | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hypersonic | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Will Dancer | 5.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Derby Storm | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fort Dodge | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Starship Chewy | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Nil Phet | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Son of a Queen | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Shared | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ziyanair | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Flower Point | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Storming Lady | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Holly Hundy | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smoovie | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tonahutu (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Posit | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kim K | 6.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Creative Instinct | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Devils Dance | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love and Peace (FR) | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kentan Road | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Santa Ynez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Bast | 1.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Auberge | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Principal | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | K P Dreamin | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Orquidias Biz | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lovely Lilia | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paige Anne | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Factorial | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Canadian Game | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hootie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mystery Messenger | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Go for a Ride | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | You Must Chill | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Single Me Out | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blame It On Kitty | 8.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Beam | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Broke Away Grey | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Bird | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Spectator’s Dream | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Brazilian Summer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.