December 28, 2019 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | King of the Cats | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mountain Tree | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Took a Cab | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Last Jet Out | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Odds Get Even | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Bip Bip Full Power | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Flash Pass | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catchy Ox | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Backchatter | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Macho d’Oro | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tatis | 50.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Thankyou Verymuch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Salsa’s Return | 1.80 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charlie the Greek | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Quenane | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dizzy Gillespie | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Boy Bruno | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lapochka | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ginger Sky | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Charge Account | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Izzy Money | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Afrolina | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Tres Jolie | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Foxy Lady | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Angelic Knugget | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delta Hutch | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blessed Beast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Janus S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Extravagant Kid | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Archidust | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Faction Cat | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tenacity Zip | 20.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Running for Riz | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Blood | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Vision Perfect | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pay Any Price | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Fixed Point | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | New Day Dawning | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Touch of Nirvana | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fancified | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Heiressindy | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Independent Miss | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forced Family Fun | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girardi | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pink Chanel | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kapiolani | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Abundantia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 1 | Girls Know Best | 1.60 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 4 | Rocky Policy | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Eyeinthesky | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Lady Magica | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 5 | Escapade | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | Jean Elizabeth | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Baccarat Fashion | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Travieza | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Violent Times | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Speed Star | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Miss Gossip (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Miss Deplorable | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Factorofwon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ambassador Luna | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Tropical Park Oaks
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 | Souper Escape | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | La Feve (FR) | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Carnival Colors (GB) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Our Bay B Ruth | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rideforthecause | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Balon Rose | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Letruska | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Great Sister Diane | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Frond | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Isla Road | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Devant (FR) | 8.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | La Australiana | 20.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Charlotte the Brit | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Equal Measure | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Panther Hit | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Indicia | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fight Fight Fight | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tons of Gold | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gear Jockey | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Basie | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mayberry Deputy | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Liberty Blue | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cause I Said So | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My First Grammy | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Elusive Ruler | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Gimme Some Mo | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fire Fist | 30.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Tropical Park Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 12 | Halladay | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Art G Is Back | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Notorious Nick | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scraps | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Temple | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Armistice Day | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | English Bee | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forever Mo | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Timmy M. | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Faraway Kitten | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kadar | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stirling Drive | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jais’s Solitude | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | A Thread of Blue | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Epic Bromance | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Via Borghese S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pivotal Connection (GB) | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Limari | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | War Cabinet | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chipolata (FR) | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Sistersledge | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Long | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | A. A. Azula’s Arch | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Touriga (BRZ) | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raining Lemons | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Candy Store (IRE) | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – H. Allen Jerkens S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 5 | Basha | 12.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | American Tattoo (ARG) | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Carom | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shazier | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Cause for Pardon | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Proquestor | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Smell of Roses | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cheyenne’s Colonel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Salute the Colonel | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Heza Kitten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.