December 15, 2019 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smiling Annie | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Girona | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Lady Ann | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sybil’s Kitty | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Bolor | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tinsel Town Queen | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Silver Fury | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Onebadrooskie | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Its All On Slew | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Tizalwaves | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Spendaholic | 2.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Machine | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Eagle | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Rough Ride | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 2 | Darpa | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fairly Lucky | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Copper Cowgirl | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Luv Is All U Need | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | I B Buzzin | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Why Are U So Sweet | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Discrete Stevie B | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jabber Now | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Panshir | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Adens Dream | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Touching Rainbows | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Make It a Triple | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Union Ride | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Romano | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shades of Victory | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Verynsky | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Captain N. Barron | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Polar | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | U S Lawman | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Caballero | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Skagit River | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Steven Decatur | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Street Punk | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Dutt Bart | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Scullyism | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Monceros | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Walk On Water | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Brimstoned | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toothless Wonder | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Roaring Rule | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dr. Bagley | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Buster Douglas (BRZ) | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bitter Ring Home | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Ipray | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tiz Love | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – King Glorious S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tap Back | 1.40 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dapper | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Papster | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Club Aspen | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Govenor Cinch | 2.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rookie Mistake | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | She’s So Special | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Storie Blue | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Paige Anne | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Go Big Blue Nation | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | I Give Up | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Going to Vegas | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Amalfi Queen | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Drive | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Slew’s Screen Star | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sentimental | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gracie’s Girl | 20.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mother Supreme | 2.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fierce Kitty | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Devilish Sunset | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | For My Brother | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Alexis Thunder | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chromes Lil Sis | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Subtle Ride | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiene Tumbao | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Aurora Night | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Swift Socks | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.